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Unconventional views on inflation control: Forward guidance, the Neo-Fisherian approach, and the fiscal theory of the price level

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  • Spahn, Peter

Abstract

In recent years, various "unconventional" views have been advanced that promise to offer new analytical insights and policy approaches that are suited to control the value of money, particularly in a constellation of low growth and unemployment. Whereas Forward Guidance attempts to decrease the real interest rate by low nominal rates and by creating excessive inflationary expectations, the Neo-Fisherian approach suggests to increase nominal rates immediately to the long-run equilibrium value that corresponds to the inflation target. The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level believes that goods prices jump to a level that validates the long-run sustainability condition of government debt. All three views are criticized for analytical and empirical reasons.

Suggested Citation

  • Spahn, Peter, 2018. "Unconventional views on inflation control: Forward guidance, the Neo-Fisherian approach, and the fiscal theory of the price level," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 02-2018, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:hohdps:022018
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    Cited by:

    1. David E. Bloom & Victoria Y. Fan & Vadim Kufenko & Osondu Ogbuoji & Klaus Prettner & Gavin Yamey, 2021. "Going beyond GDP with a parsimonious indicator: inequality-adjusted healthy lifetime income," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 19(1), pages 127-140.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    interest rate policy; zero-lower bound; low-growth equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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