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Stop Waiting Problem: Decision Rule with Ψ function and Application with Share Prices

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  • Kohn, Wolfgang

Abstract

In this paper the stop-waiting strategy of Franz Bruss is set into a simple probabilistic framework and applied to the apple share prices from 1984 to 2013. Within the probabilistic framework a heuristic and a mathematical decision rule using the $\Psi$ function is developed. The results are in line with Bruss's theory. We apply the stop-waiting strategy to the Apple share prices and compare the results with a simple start-end and chart technique strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Kohn, Wolfgang, 2014. "Stop Waiting Problem: Decision Rule with Ψ function and Application with Share Prices," EconStor Preprints 93096, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:93096
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/93096/1/stopwaiting.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Kohn, Wolfgang, 2014. "Last Success Problem: Decision Rule and Application," EconStor Preprints 97215, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal Stopping Problem; Mathematical Tools; Share Market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C65 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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