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A Temporal Analysis of Intraday Volatility of Nifty Futures on the National Stock Exchange

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  • Singh, Ritvik
  • Gangwar, Rachna

Abstract

This paper aims to establish trends in intraday volatility in context of the Indian stock market and analyze the impact of development in the Indian economy on its stock market volatility. One minute tick data of Nifty 50 futures from Jan 1, 2011 to Aug 31, 2018 was used for the purpose of this research. Volatility was computed for each day of week and various time intervals. Our analysis shows evidence of the expected U-shaped pattern of intraday volatility (higher at the beginning and end of the day). We also observed a decline in the hourly volatility over the time period studied. However, sufficient evidence to determine the impact of development in the Indian economy on volatility in the stock market was not found.

Suggested Citation

  • Singh, Ritvik & Gangwar, Rachna, 2018. "A Temporal Analysis of Intraday Volatility of Nifty Futures on the National Stock Exchange," EconStor Preprints 183471, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:183471
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aggarwal, Reena & Inclan, Carla & Leal, Ricardo, 1999. "Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 33-55, March.
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    3. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Ashish Das, 2001. "Variance‐ratio Statistics and High‐frequency Data: Testing for Changes in Intraday Volatility Patterns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 305-327, February.
    4. Anat R. Admati, Paul Pfleiderer, 1988. "A Theory of Intraday Patterns: Volume and Price Variability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 3-40.
    5. David McMillan & Alan Speight, 2006. "Heterogeneous information flows and intra-day volatility dynamics: evidence from the UK FTSE-100 stock index futures market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 959-972.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk Analysis; Intraday Volatility; National Stock Exchange of India; Nifty Futures; Temporal Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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