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The Lintner model revisited: Dividends versus total payouts

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  • Andres, Christian
  • Doumet, Markus
  • Fernau, Erik
  • Theissen, Erik

Abstract

We analyze how the introduction of repurchases in 1998, and a major tax reform in 2001, affected the payout policy of German firms. To this end, we estimate Lintner (1956) partial adjustment models for both dividends and total payouts. We also analyze the implications for payout of changes in both permanent and transitory earnings. Our results are inconsistent with the hypothesis that dividends and repurchases are perfect substitutes. They are also inconsistent with the prediction that tax considerations are a major driver of payout decisions. Our results instead support the flexibility hypothesis that predicts that dividends are used to disburse permanent, and repurchases transitory, earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Andres, Christian & Doumet, Markus & Fernau, Erik & Theissen, Erik, 2013. "The Lintner model revisited: Dividends versus total payouts," CFR Working Papers 14-02, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:cfrwps:1402
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    Cited by:

    1. Shi, Min, 2019. "Overinvestment and corporate governance in energy listed companies: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 436-445.
    2. Faruk Bostanci & Eyup Kadioglu & Guven Sayilgan, 2018. "Determinants of Dividend Payout Decisions: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis of Turkish Stock Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-16, November.
    3. Szládek, Dániel, 2024. "Osztalékfizetés helyett részvény-visszavásárlás?. A részvény-visszavásárlások népszerűségének lehetséges okai [Share repurchases instead of dividend payments?. The evolution of payout policies and ," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 154-175.
    4. Driver, Ciaran & Grosman, Anna & Scaramozzino, Pasquale, 2020. "Dividend policy and investor pressure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 559-576.
    5. Kent Baker, H. & De Ridder, Adri, 2018. "Payout policy in industrial and financial firms," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 138-151.
    6. Pirgaip, Burak & Dinçergök, Burcu, 2019. "Share repurchases under uncertainty: U.S. evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 130-138.
    7. Dasilas, Apostolos & Grose, Chris, 2019. "Valuation effects of tax-free versus taxed cash distributions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 307-321.
    8. Christian Andres & André Betzer & Markus Doumet & Erik Theissen, 2018. "Open Market Share Repurchases in Germany: A Conditional Event Study Approach," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 54(4), pages 417-444, December.
    9. Chowdhury, Hasibul & Rahman, Shofiqur, 2023. "Do tournament incentives affect corporate dividend policy?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    10. Armitage, Seth & Gallagher, Ronan, 2019. "Are pension contributions a threat to shareholder payouts?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 27-42.
    11. Fernau, Erik & Hirsch, Stefan, 2019. "What drives dividend smoothing? A meta regression analysis of the Lintner model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 255-273.
    12. Benavides, Julian & Berggrun, Luis & Perafan, Hector, 2016. "Dividend payout policies: Evidence from Latin America," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 197-210.
    13. MieczysEaw Kowerski, 2021. "The impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the dividend target payout ratio. The evidence from Hydrotor SA," Zeszyty Naukowe Małopolskiej Wyższej Szkoły Ekonomicznej w Tarnowie / The Malopolska School of Economics in Tarnow Research Papers Collection, Malopolska School of Economics in Tarnow, vol. 51(3), pages 15-28, September.
    14. Jan Hanousek & Jiří Trešl, 2019. "Charakteristiky celkových výplat akcionářům soukromých firem v zemích visegradské skupiny [Firms' Total Payout Characteristics in Visegrad Countries]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(5), pages 458-475.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dividends; Repurchases; Lintner model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy

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