Can heterogeneous agent models explain the alleged mispricing of the S&P 500?
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Flavin, Marjorie A, 1983. "Excess Volatility in the Financial Markets: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(6), pages 929-956, December.
- Day, Richard H. & Huang, Weihong, 1990.
"Bulls, bears and market sheep,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 299-329, December.
- Day, R. & Huang, W., 1988. "Bulls, Bears And Market Sheep," Papers m8822, Southern California - Department of Economics.
- Lux, Thomas, 2009.
"Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 638-655, November.
- Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Economics Working Papers 2008-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2017.
"On the bimodality of the distribution of the S&P 500's distortion: Empirical evidence and theoretical explanations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 34-53.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2017. "On the bimodality of the distribution of the S&P 500's distortion: Empirical evidence and theoretical explanations," BERG Working Paper Series 119, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Thomas Lux, 2009. "Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey," Post-Print hal-00720175, HAL.
- Thomas Lux & Michele Marchesi, 2000. "Volatility Clustering In Financial Markets: A Microsimulation Of Interacting Agents," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 675-702.
- Andrea Gaunersdorfer & Cars Hommes, 2007.
"A Nonlinear Structural Model for Volatility Clustering,"
Springer Books, in: Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), Long Memory in Economics, pages 265-288,
Springer.
- Gaunersdorfer, A. & Hommes, C.H., 2000. "A Nonlinear Structural Model for Volatility Clustering," CeNDEF Working Papers 00-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Gaunersdorfer, A. & Hommes, C.H., 2005. "A nonlinear structural model for volatility clustering," CeNDEF Working Papers 05-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- John H. Cochrane, 2011. "Presidential Address: Discount Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(4), pages 1047-1108, August.
- Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2011.
"The Model Confidence Set,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 453-497, March.
- Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2010. "The Model Confidence Set," CREATES Research Papers 2010-76, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- McManus, Douglas A., 1992. "How common is identification in parametric models?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 5-23.
- Shiller, Robert J, 1981.
"Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 421-436, June.
- Robert J. Shiller, 1980. "Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?," NBER Working Papers 0456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly, 2018.
"Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(1), pages 71-127.
- Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly, 2016. "Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates," NBER Working Papers 22045, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brock, William A. & Hommes, Cars H., 1998.
"Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(8-9), pages 1235-1274, August.
- Brock, W.A. & Hommes, C.H., 1996. "Hetergeneous Beliefs and Routes to Chaos in a Simple Asset Pricing Model," Working papers 9621, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- Majewski, Adam A. & Ciliberti, Stefano & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2020. "Co-existence of trend and value in financial markets: Estimating an extended Chiarella model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Douc, R. & Doukhan, P. & Moulines, E., 2013. "Ergodicity of observation-driven time series models and consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2620-2647.
- Kenneth D. West, 1988. "Bubbles, Fads, and Stock Price Volatility Tests: A Partial Evaluation," NBER Working Papers 2574, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Franke, Reiner & Westerhoff, Frank, 2012.
"Structural stochastic volatility in asset pricing dynamics: Estimation and model contest,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1193-1211.
- Franke, Reiner & Westerhoff, Frank, 2011. "Structural stochastic volatility in asset pricing dynamics: Estimation and model contest," BERG Working Paper Series 78, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Beja, Avraham & Goldman, M Barry, 1980. "On the Dynamic Behavior of Prices in Disequilibrium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(2), pages 235-248, May.
- Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), 2007. "Long Memory in Economics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-34625-8, March.
- Lux, Thomas, 1995. "Herd Behaviour, Bubbles and Crashes," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(431), pages 881-896, July.
- Carl Chiarella, 1992. "The Dynamics of Speculative Behaviour," Working Paper Series 13, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Zeeman, E. C., 1974. "On the unstable behaviour of stock exchanges," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 39-49, March.
- LeRoy, Stephen F & Porter, Richard D, 1981. "The Present-Value Relation: Tests Based on Implied Variance Bounds," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 555-574, May.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Zheng, Min & Liu, Ruipeng & Li, Youwei, 2018.
"Long memory in financial markets: A heterogeneous agent model perspective,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 38-51.
- Zheng, Min & Liu, Ruipeng & Li, Youwei, 2018. "Long memory in financial markets: A heterogeneous agent model perspective," MPRA Paper 84886, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Qi Nan Zhai, 2015. "Asset Pricing Under Ambiguity and Heterogeneity," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2015, January-A.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2017.
"On the bimodality of the distribution of the S&P 500's distortion: Empirical evidence and theoretical explanations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 34-53.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2017. "On the bimodality of the distribution of the S&P 500's distortion: Empirical evidence and theoretical explanations," BERG Working Paper Series 119, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Qi Nan Zhai, 2015. "Asset Pricing Under Ambiguity and Heterogeneity," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 16, July-Dece.
- Noemi Schmitt & Ivonne Schwartz & Frank Westerhoff, 2022.
"Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: a simple agent-based computational model,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13-15), pages 1263-1282, October.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Schwartz, Ivonne & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2020. "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: A simple agent-based computational model," BERG Working Paper Series 160, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Hommes, Cars H., 2006.
"Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance,"
Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 23, pages 1109-1186,
Elsevier.
- Cars H. Hommes, 2005. "Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-056/1, Tinbergen Institute.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2021.
"Trend followers, contrarians and fundamentalists: Explaining the dynamics of financial markets,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 117-136.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2019. "Trend followers, contrarians and fundamentalists: Explaining the dynamics of financial markets," BERG Working Paper Series 151, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- He, Xue-Zhong & Li, Youwei & Zheng, Min, 2019. "Heterogeneous agent models in financial markets: A nonlinear dynamics approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 135-149.
- Hommes, C.H., 2005. "Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance, In: Handbook of Computational Economics II: Agent-Based Computational Economics, edited by Leigh Tesfatsion and Ken Judd , Elsevier, Amsterdam 2006," CeNDEF Working Papers 05-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He, 2011. "The dynamic behaviour of asset prices in disequilibrium: a survey," International Journal of Behavioural Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 101-139.
- Demary, Markus, 2010.
"Transaction taxes and traders with heterogeneous investment horizons in an agent-based financial market model,"
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 4, pages 1-44.
- Demary, Markus, 2009. "Transaction taxes and traders with heterogeneous investment horizons in an agent-based financial market model," Economics Discussion Papers 2009-47, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Sandrine Jacob Leal, 2015. "Fundamentalists, chartists and asset pricing anomalies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 1837-1850, November.
- Sandrine Jacob Leal, 2015. "Fundamentalists, Chartists and Asset pricing anomalies," Post-Print hal-01508002, HAL.
- Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Stochastic behavioral asset pricing models and the stylized facts," Kiel Working Papers 1426, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Andrea Gaunersdorfer & Cars Hommes & Florian Wagener, 2001. "Adaptive Beliefs and the volatility of asset prices," CeNDEF Workshop Papers, January 2001 5A.1, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- E. Samanidou & E. Zschischang & D. Stauffer & T. Lux, 2001.
"Microscopic Models of Financial Markets,"
Papers
cond-mat/0110354, arXiv.org.
- Samanidou, Egle & Zschischang, Elmar & Stauffer, Dietrich & Lux, Thomas, 2006. "Microscopic models of financial markets," Economics Working Papers 2006-15, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2014.
"Speculative behavior and the dynamics of interacting stock markets,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 262-288.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2013. "Speculative behavior and the dynamics of interacting stock markets," BERG Working Paper Series 90, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Xue-Zhong He & Youwei Li, 2017.
"The adaptiveness in stock markets: testing the stylized facts in the DAX 30,"
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 1071-1094, November.
- Xue-Zhong He & Youwei Li, 2015. "The Adaptiveness in Stock Markets: Testing the Stylized Facts in the Dax 30," Research Paper Series 364, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- He, Xue-Zhong & Li, Kai, 2012.
"Heterogeneous beliefs and adaptive behaviour in a continuous-time asset price model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 973-987.
- Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2011. "Heterogeneous Beliefs and Adaptive Behaviour in a Continuous-Time Asset Price Model," Research Paper Series 291, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Stochastic behavioral asset pricing models and the stylized facts," Economics Working Papers 2008-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
More about this item
Keywords
Stock market dynamics; bubbles and crashes; nonlinear dynamics; chartists and fundamentalists; model confidence set;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FMK-2020-05-25 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-ORE-2020-05-25 (Operations Research)
- NEP-RMG-2020-05-25 (Risk Management)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:cauewp:202003. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vakiede.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.