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Turnover-based corporate income taxation and corporate risk-taking

Author

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  • Siahaan, Fernando
  • Amberger, Harald
  • Sureth, Caren

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of a Turnover-based Corporate Income Tax (TbCIT) on corporate risk-taking. TbCIT is a simplified presumptive tax levied on a firm's turnover and commonly applied to SMEs and hard-to-tax income. Using a rich sample of Indonesian firms for the years 2009 to 2021, we provide evidence that corporate risk-taking is negatively associated with a firm's TbCIT exposure. The negative effect is stronger for firms in industries with high profit margins and firms with prior year losses. However, we find no association between risk-taking and the effective TbCIT rate. Overall, our findings extend prior research on the effects of limited risk sharing between taxpayers and the government by showing that turnover-based taxation can depress corporate risk-taking. Our study also informs policymakers about potential unintended consequences of adopting simplified, turnover-based tax regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Siahaan, Fernando & Amberger, Harald & Sureth, Caren, 2023. "Turnover-based corporate income taxation and corporate risk-taking," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 281, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:arqudp:285364
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Miriam Bruhn & Jan Loeprick, 2016. "Small business tax policy and informality: evidence from Georgia," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 23(5), pages 834-853, October.
    4. Godwin Dube, 2018. "The design and implementation of minibus taxi presumptive taxes," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(11-12), pages 723-741, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    turnover-based tax; corporate income tax; risk-taking; SMEs taxation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • H32 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Firm
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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