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Stability of Long-run Relationships for Countries in Transition: A Hansen Test Study

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  • Ewa Syczewska

    (Warsaw School of Economics)

Abstract

The results of a Monte Carlo research for the Hansen Lc, MeanF and SupF stability tests for long-run relationships are reported. The tests are related to the Phillips-Hansen and Hansen semiparametric methods, which involve kernel density estimation of the long-run covariance matrix. We compare the effect of the choice of kernel on the performance of the tests, and also check the effect of misspecification of the model (lags for the disturbances) on the behaviour of test statistics, and behaviour of percentiles. The results indicate that the best – both in terms of efficiency and robustness to misspecification error – is the Parzen kernel.

Suggested Citation

  • Ewa Syczewska, 2011. "Stability of Long-run Relationships for Countries in Transition: A Hansen Test Study," Working Papers 58, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wse:wpaper:58
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    2. Park, Joon Y. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 1989. "Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 95-131, April.
    3. Haug, Alfred A, 1995. "Has Federal Budget Deficit Policy Changed in Recent Years?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(1), pages 104-118, January.
    4. Park, Joon Y. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 1988. "Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 1," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 468-497, December.
    5. Banerjee, Anindya & Dolado, Juan J. & Galbraith, John W. & Hendry, David, 1993. "Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198288107.
    6. Hansen, Bruce E, 1997. "Approximate Asymptotic P Values for Structural-Change Tests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 15(1), pages 60-67, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hansen stability tests; Phillips-Hansen estimators; long-run covariance matrix; spectral analysis; semiparametric estimates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions

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