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Pathways to Randomness in the Economy: Emergent Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economics and Finance

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  • W. A. Brock

Abstract

The paper: (1) Gives a general argument why research on nonlinear science in general and chaos in particular is important in economics and finance. (2) Puts forth two definitions of stochastic nonlinearity (IID-Linearity and MDS-Linearity) for nonlinear time series analysis and argues for their usefulness as orgainizing concepts not only for discussion of nonlinearity testing in time series econometrics but also for building a new class of structural asset pricing models. (3) shows how to use ideas from interacting particle systems theory to build structural asset pricing models that turn IID-Linear or MDS-Linear earnings processes into non MDS-Linear equilibrium returns processes.

Suggested Citation

  • W. A. Brock, 1993. "Pathways to Randomness in the Economy: Emergent Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economics and Finance," Working Papers 93-02-006, Santa Fe Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:wop:safiwp:93-02-006
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