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Makroökonomische Effekte des zweiten Lockdown in Österreich

Author

Listed:
  • Josef Baumgartner
  • Walter Hyll
  • Hans Pitlik

    (WIFO)

  • Stefan Schiman-Vukan

Abstract

Die Wirtschaft dürfte 2020 um 7,7% schrumpfen statt um 6,8%, wie noch im Oktober prognostiziert. 0,6 Prozentpunkte dieses zusätzlichen Einbruchs sind auf den Bereich Beherbergung und Gastronomie zurückzuführen, der Rest vor allem auf (freiwilligen) Konsumverzicht in anderen Bereichen. 2021 dürfte das BIP um nur 2,8% expandieren statt um 4,4% laut WIFO-Prognose vom Oktober 2020. Der BIP-Beitrag aus dem Bereich Beherbergung und Gastronomie steigt hingegen um 0,3 Prozentpunkte. Während also der Tourismus von den aktuellen Verschärfungen im nächsten Jahr profitieren soll, ergeben sich gesamtwirtschaftlich negative Folgeeffekte.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Baumgartner & Walter Hyll & Hans Pitlik & Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2020. "Makroökonomische Effekte des zweiten Lockdown in Österreich," WIFO Research Briefs 17, WIFO.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:rbrief:y:2020:i:17
    Note: With English abstract.
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    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/66582
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    Cited by:

    1. Simon Loretz & Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger, 2021. "Bundeshaushalt und Staatsschuld in der COVID-19-Krise. Bundesvoranschlag 2021 und Mittelfristiger Finanzrahmen 2021 bis 2024," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 94(1), pages 53-65, January.
    2. Peter Mayerhofer & Susanne Bärenthaler-Sieber & Michael Böheim, 2020. "Oberösterreichs Industrie in der COVID-19-Krise. Eine Zwischenbilanz," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66810.

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