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Death scares : how potential work-migrants infer mortality rates from migrant deaths

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  • Shrestha,Maheshwor

Abstract

This paper studies how potential work migrants infer mortality rates from incidents of migrant deaths. In the context of migrant workers from Nepal to Malaysia and the Persian Gulf countries, the study finds that the death of a migrant from a district lowers migration outflows in subsequent months. Furthermore, this migration response is stronger when there have been more migrant deaths in recent months. Using relevant elasticities, this study finds that the migration response implies large changes in mortality rates perceived by potential migrants. Models of learning fallacies better explain the observed responses than a standard model of rational Bayesian learning.

Suggested Citation

  • Shrestha,Maheshwor, 2017. "Death scares : how potential work-migrants infer mortality rates from migrant deaths," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7946, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7946
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    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/107041485189637717/pdf/WPS7946.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Bossavie, Laurent & Denisova, Anastasiya, 2018. "Youth Labor Migration in Nepal," Jobs Group Papers, Notes, and Guides 29783617, The World Bank.

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    Keywords

    Social Protections&Assistance;

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