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Financing the reconstruction of public capital after a natural disaster

Author

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  • Bevan,David L.
  • Adam,Christopher

Abstract

When a natural disaster destroys public capital, these direct losses are exacerbated by indirect losses arising from reduced output while reconstruction takes place. These indirect losses may be much larger, relative to the direct ones, in low-income countries, because they lack the finance for rapid reconstruction. This paper uses a dynamic general equilibrium model to examine sovereign disaster risk insurance, increased taxation, and budget reallocation as alternative financing mechanisms for countries where increased borrowing is impractical. The analysis suggests that insurance may or may not be helpful, depending on detailed circumstances, and that budget reallocation is potentially very damaging. Raised taxation, if feasible, may be an attractive option.

Suggested Citation

  • Bevan,David L. & Adam,Christopher, 2016. "Financing the reconstruction of public capital after a natural disaster," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7718, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7718
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Amr Hosny, 2021. "Adapting to Climate Change in Vietnam: Insights from a Structural Model," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 145-152, June.
    2. Adam, Christopher & Bevan, David, 2020. "Tropical cyclones and post-disaster reconstruction of public infrastructure in developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 82-99.
    3. Daniel J. Clarke & Olivier Mahul & Richard Poulter & Tse-Ling Teh, 2017. "Evaluating Sovereign Disaster Risk Finance Strategies: A Framework," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 42(4), pages 565-584, October.
    4. Yawen Wang & Qing Wang & Zhaopeng Xing, 2022. "Climate Disaster Losses and Foreign Exchange Reserve Dynamics: Evidence of East Asia Pacific," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-15, November.
    5. Stefan Mittnik & Willi Semmler & Alexander Haider, 2020. "Climate Disaster Risks—Empirics and a Multi-Phase Dynamic Model," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-27, August.
    6. Cantelmo, Alessandro & Melina, Giovanni & Papageorgiou, Chris, 2023. "Macroeconomic outcomes in disaster-prone countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    7. Vít Hromádka & Barbora Helešicová & Jana Nováková, 2024. "Management of the Territory Restoration Process Following a Disaster: The Case of the South Moravian Region in the Czech Republic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-19, October.
    8. Marto, Ricardo & Papageorgiou, Chris & Klyuev, Vladimir, 2018. "Building resilience to natural disasters: An application to small developing states," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 574-586.

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