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The quality of budget execution and its correlates

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  • Addison, Douglas

Abstract

What determines the quality of budget execution around the world, measured in terms of a government's ability to accurately hit its own revenue and expenditure targets? The answers could be relevant to the topics of macroeconomic stability, national development, public service delivery, and political reputation. This paper takes a step toward finding answers through the exploration of a new database of budgets and budget outcomes and potential cross-country correlates of budget execution in levels and in composition. Few countries within the data sample execute their budgets well, in levels or in composition. Expenditure deviations are positively but rather loosely correlated with revenue deviations. Within this broad tendency, there is considerable variation in behavior not only across countries, but also across time within countries. In explaining the cross-country variations, the data confirm traditional drivers for common pool behavior while also supporting constructive roles for political institutions and the technical capacity for public financial management. This is good news for reform minded governments.

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  • Addison, Douglas, 2013. "The quality of budget execution and its correlates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6657, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6657
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Frederick Van der Ploeg, 2007. "Prudent Budgetary Policy: Political Economy of Precautionary Taxation," CESifo Working Paper Series 1973, CESifo.
    2. Alesina, Alberto & Hausmann, Ricardo & Hommes, Rudolf & Stein, Ernesto, 1999. "Budget institutions and fiscal performance in Latin America," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 253-273, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jena, Pratap Ranjan & Sikdar, Satadru, 2019. "Budget Credibility in India: Assessment through PEFA framework," Working Papers 19/284, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.

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