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On the contribution of demographic change to aggregate poverty measures for the developing world

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  • Ravallion, Martin

Abstract

Recent literature and new data help determine plausible bounds to some key demographic differences between the poor and non-poor in the developing world. The author estimates that selective mortality-whereby poorer people tend to have higher death rates-accounts for 10-30 percent of the developing world's trend rate of"$1 a day"poverty reduction in the 1990s. However, in a neighborhood of plausible estimates, differential fertility-whereby poorer people tend also to have higher birth rates-has had a more than offsetting poverty-increasing effect. The net impact of differential natural population growth represents 10-50 percent of the trend rate of poverty reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Ravallion, Martin, 2005. "On the contribution of demographic change to aggregate poverty measures for the developing world," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3580, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3580
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Suleiman Abu-Bader & Daniel Gottlieb, 2009. "Poverty, education and employment in the Arab-Bedouin society: A comparative view," Working Papers 137, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    2. Michael Grimm & Kenneth Harttgen, 2008. "Longer life, higher welfare?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 60(2), pages 193-211, April.
    3. Kenneth Harttgen, 2007. "The Impact of HIV on Children´s Welfare," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 157, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    4. סלימאן אבו-בדר ודר' דניאל גוטליב, 2009. "עוני, חינוך ותעסוקה בחברה הערבית-בדואית: מבט השוואתי (באנגלית)," Working Papers 357, National Insurance Institute of Israel.
    5. Anríquez, Gustavo, 2007. "Long-term rural demographic trends," ESA Working Papers 289040, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).

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    Keywords

    Health Monitoring&Evaluation; Services&Transfers to Poor; Safety Nets and Transfers; Rural Poverty Reduction; Health Indicators;
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