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Harnessing a Young Nation?s Demographic Dividends through a Universal NDC Pension Scheme : A Case Study of Tanzania

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  • Larsson,Bo
  • Leyaro,Vincent
  • Palmer,Edward

Abstract

About one-half of Africa?s population will remain below age 30 well past 2050,with relatively few aged 60 and older. Using Tanzania?s projected demographics and presenteconomic point of departure, this paper demonstrates how the implicit ?double?demographic dividend can be harnessed to create inclusive growth. A Swedish-style non financial defined contribution (NDC) system is launched where the government can borrow funds from the future through NDC ?consol? bonds to transform individual savings into human and physical capital to promote inclusive economic growth. The consol bonds constitute a reserve to cover pensions of the retiring ?demographic bubble? in the future as the dependency ratio gradually glides into demographic equilibrium. Minimum transfers tothe current elderly are also introduced with the phase-in.

Suggested Citation

  • Larsson,Bo & Leyaro,Vincent & Palmer,Edward, 2019. "Harnessing a Young Nation?s Demographic Dividends through a Universal NDC Pension Scheme : A Case Study of Tanzania," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 136544, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:hdnspu:136544
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    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/262211556877980550/pdf/Harnessing-a-Young-Nation-s-Demographic-Dividends-through-a-Universal-NDC-Pension-Scheme-A-Case-Study-of-Tanzania.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Góra,Marek & Palmer,Edward, 2019. "NDC : The Generic Old-Age Pension Scheme," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 136551, The World Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Educational Sciences; Demographics; Labor&Employment Law; Pensions&Retirement Systems; Labor Markets; Rural Labor Markets;
    All these keywords.

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