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Enhancing literature review with NLP methods Algorithmic investment strategies case

Author

Listed:
  • Stanisław Łaniewski

    (University of Warsaw, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Department of Quantitative Finance and Machine Learning)

  • Robert Ślepaczuk

    (University of Warsaw, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Department of Quantitative Finance and Machine Learning)

Abstract

This study utilizes machine learning algorithms to analyze and organize knowledge in the field of algorithmic trading, based on filtering 136 million research papers to 14,342 articles ranging from 1956 to Q1 2020. We compare previously used practices such as keyword-based algorithms and embedding techniques with state-of-the-art dimension reduction and clustering for topic modeling method (BERTopic) to compare the popularity and evolution of different approaches and themes. We show new possibilities created by the last iteration of Large Language Models (LLM) like ChatGPT. The analysis reveals that the number of research articles on algorithmic trading is increasing faster than the overall number of papers. The stocks and main indices comprise more than half of all assets considered, but the growing trend in some classes is much stronger (e.g. cryptocurrencies). Machine learning models have become the most popular methods nowadays, but they are often flawed compared to seemingly simpler techniques. The study demonstrates the usefulness of Natural Language Processing in asking intricate questions about analyzed articles, like comparing the efficiency of different models. We demonstrate the efficiency of LLMs in refining datasets. Our research shows that by breaking tasks into smaller ones and adding reasoning steps, we can effectively address complex questions supported by case analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanisław Łaniewski & Robert Ślepaczuk, 2024. "Enhancing literature review with NLP methods Algorithmic investment strategies case," Working Papers 2024-16, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  • Handle: RePEc:war:wpaper:2024-16
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    File URL: https://www.wne.uw.edu.pl/download_file/4721/0
    File Function: First version, 2024
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trading; quantitative finance; neural networks; literature review; knowledge representation; natural language processing (NLP); topic modeling; model comparison; artificial intelligence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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