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The Relationship Between External Debt And Economic Growth In The West African Monetary Zone: A Panel Data Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Ismaila Jarju
  • Edward Nyarko
  • Kormay Adams
  • Ozolina Haffner
  • Olukayode S. Odeniran

Abstract

This study analyzes trends and investigates the relationship between external debt and economic growth in the WAMZ using descriptive trend analysis and panel data analysis. The trend and descriptive analysis assessed the behavior of external debt and economic growth while the empirical analyses employed panel data regression in which a fixed effect model was estimated after the implementation of the Hausman test to verify its appropriateness over the random effect model. The fixed effect model and the dynamic version show that the relationship between external debt and growth in the WAMZ is non-linear “Laffer curve” shaped, confirming the debt overhang theory that the accumulation of external debt beyond a certain threshold adversely affects economic growth. The results also confirm the crowding-out effect of rising external debt stock as the co-efficient of external debt service was negative and statistically significant, indicating that rising debt service associated with high levels of external debt stock limits the use of limited resources (revenue) from being channeled to productive public investments that would accelerate economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismaila Jarju & Edward Nyarko & Kormay Adams & Ozolina Haffner & Olukayode S. Odeniran, 2016. "The Relationship Between External Debt And Economic Growth In The West African Monetary Zone: A Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers 12, West African Monetary Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:wam:wpaper:12
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    File URL: http://wami-imao.org/sites/default/files/OccassionalPapers/External%20Debt%20and%20Economic%20Growth%20in%20the%20WAMZ_December%202016_English.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adekunle, Wasiu & Bekoe, William & Badmus, Sheriff & Anagun, Michael & Alimi, Wasiu, 2021. "Nexus Between Fiscal Discipline And The Budget Process In Africa: Evidence From Nigeria," MPRA Paper 110061, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Adeniyi, Oluwatosin & Adekunle, Wasiu & Orekoya, Samuel, 2018. "Non-linear Relation between External Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Does the Investment Channel Matter?," MPRA Paper 99975, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Apr 2019.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    External Debt; Economic Growth; Panel Data Analysis; WAMZ;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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