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Pack light on the move: Exploitation and exploration in a dynamic environment

Author

Listed:
  • Marco LiCalzi

    (Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia)

  • Davide Marchiori

    (Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia)

Abstract

This paper revisits a recent study by Posen and Levinthal (2012) on the exploration/exploitation tradeoff for a multi-armed bandit problem, where the reward probabilities undergo random shocks. We show that their analysis suffers two shortcomings: it assumes that learning is based on stale evidence, and it overlooks the steady state. We let the learning rule endogenously discard stale evidence, and we perform the long run analyses. The comparative study demonstrates that some of their conclusions must be qualified.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco LiCalzi & Davide Marchiori, 2013. "Pack light on the move: Exploitation and exploration in a dynamic environment," Working Papers 4, Venice School of Management - Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    • Handle: RePEc:vnm:wpdman:40
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James G. March, 1991. "Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 2(1), pages 71-87, February.
    2. Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), 2006. "Handbook of Computational Economics," Handbook of Computational Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 2, number 2.
    3. Duffy, John, 2006. "Agent-Based Models and Human Subject Experiments," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 19, pages 949-1011, Elsevier.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    adaptation; learning; turbulence; multi-armed bandit problem;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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