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The likelihood of 24 Least Developed Countries graduating from the LDC category by 2020: an achievable goal?

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  • Hiroshi Kawamura

Abstract

This paper examines the prospects of achieving a main goal of the Istanbul Programme of Action—at least half of the LDCs to meet the graduation criteria by 2020. Based on two different sets of graduation criteria established by the CDP and current trends in socio-economic indicators of LDCs, the paper concludes that the goal is unlikely to be met even under an optimistic scenario. There are considerable uncertainties about the possible outcome, partly owing to the way in which the graduation criteria are established and partly owing to the difficulty of predicting future course of socio-economic development of LDCs.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroshi Kawamura, 2014. "The likelihood of 24 Least Developed Countries graduating from the LDC category by 2020: an achievable goal?," CDP Background Papers 020, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs.
    • Handle: RePEc:une:cpaper:020
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    File URL: http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/cdp/cdp_background_papers/bp2014_20.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patrick GUILLAUMONT & Alassane DRABO, 2013. "Assessing the Prospects of Accelerated Graduation of the Least Developed Countries," Working Papers P72, FERDI.
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    Cited by:

    1. M. Akanda, 2015. "Has Bangladesh really come ahead of the LDCs?," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 17(2), pages 223-240, October.

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      More about this item

      Keywords

      least development countries; Istanbul Programme of Action; graduation; GNI; human asset index; economic vulnerability index;
      All these keywords.

      JEL classification:

      • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
      • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
      • F55 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Institutional Arrangements

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