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The Pass-through from Depreciation to Inflation: Chile 1986-2001

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  • Carlos Noton

Abstract

A microeconomic model of imperfect Cournot competition is used to derive an explicit endogenous relationship between price level and the nominal exchange rate. We obtain a markup that varies endogenously with consumer real income. Using the model, the estimated passthrough - namely the impact of devaluation on inflation - ranges between 9-11% in the short run and between 21-32% in the long run for the period 1986-2001. However, the data supports a structural change in 1991, after which the pass-through coefficient decline significantly. Moreover, contrary to conventional wisdom, we find no evidence of procyclical pass-through.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Noton, 2003. "The Pass-through from Depreciation to Inflation: Chile 1986-2001," Working Papers wp202, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:udc:wpaper:wp202
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jose Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2002. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices: A Macro or Micro Phenomenon?," NBER Working Papers 8934, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Feenstra, Robert C. & Kendall, Jon D., 1997. "Pass-through of exchange rates and purchasing power parity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1-2), pages 237-261, August.
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    4. Ilan Goldfajn & Sérgio Ribeiro da Costa Werlang, 2000. "The Pass-through from Depreciation to Inflation: A Panel Study," Working Papers Series 5, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    5. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1987. "Exchange Rates and Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(1), pages 93-106, March.
    6. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
    7. Ayumi Kikuchi & Michael Sumner, 2002. "Exchange-rate pass-through in Japanese export pricing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 279-284.
    8. Morande, Felipe G., 1986. "Domestic prices of importable goods in Chile and the law of one price 1975-1982," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 131-147, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrés Sansone & Santiago Justel, 2016. "Exchange rate pass-through to prices: var evidence for Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(1), pages 20-37, April.
    2. Mujica R., Patricio & Saens, Rodrigo, 2015. "Exchange rate pass-through and inflation targets in Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    3. Roberto Álvarez & Patricio Jaramillo & Jorge Selaive, 2008. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 465, Central Bank of Chile.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate; Devaluation; Pass-through; Inflation; Endogenous Mark-up; Oligoplistic Cournot Competition.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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