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Prediction of Gas Concentration Based on the Opposite Degree Algorithm

Author

Listed:
  • Xiao-Guang Yue

    (School of Civil Engineering Wuhan University, China)

  • Rui Gao

    ( School of Civil Engineering Wuhan University, China)

  • Michael McAleer

    (Department of Quantitative Finance National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan)

Abstract

In order to study the dynamic changes in gas concentration, to reduce gas hazards, and to protect and improve mining safety, a new method is proposed to predict gas concentration. The method is based on the opposite degree algorithm. Priori and posteriori values, opposite degree computation, opposite space, prior matrix, and posterior matrix are 6 basic concepts of opposite degree algorithm. Several opposite degree numerical formulae to calculate the opposite degrees between gas concentration data and gas concentration data trends can be used to predict empirical results. The opposite degree numerical computation (OD-NC) algorithm has greater accuracy than several common prediction methods, such as RBF (Radial Basis Function) and GRNN (General Regression Neural Network). The prediction mean relative errors of RBF, GRNN and OD-NC are 7.812%, 5.674% and 3.284%, respectively. Simulation experiments shows that the OD-NC algorithm is feasible and effective.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao-Guang Yue & Rui Gao & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Prediction of Gas Concentration Based on the Opposite Degree Algorithm," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2016-05, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucm:doicae:1605
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    Keywords

    Gas concentration; Opposite degree algorithm; Data prediction; Mining safety; Numerical simulations.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels

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