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A Test of the Convergence Hypothesis by Rates of Return to Capital: Evidence from OECD Countries

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  • Hak K. Pyo

    (Seoul National University and University of Tokyo.)

  • Kwanghee Nam

    (Korea Economic Research Institute)

Abstract

While the convergence hypothesis implies that poor countries or regions tend to grow faster than rich ones, it can be reformulated such that poor countries or regions tend to have higher rates of return on their capital than rich ones but their rates of return would ultimately decline and converge to the level of rich ones. We test this reformulated convergence hypothesis by estimating Harberger's before-tax gross rates of return on total capital from the data of OECD countries. The major finding is that the convergence hypothesis is accepted: there could be an outlier during a certain period but the rate of return on its capital eventually declines and converges to the steady-state level.

Suggested Citation

  • Hak K. Pyo & Kwanghee Nam, 1999. "A Test of the Convergence Hypothesis by Rates of Return to Capital: Evidence from OECD Countries," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-51, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    • Handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:99cf51
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    Cited by:

    1. Keiko Ito & Kyoji Fukao, 2005. "Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan," NBER Chapters, in: International Trade in East Asia, pages 7-52, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Ito, Keiko & 伊藤, 恵子 & イトウ, ケイコ & Fukao, Kyoji & 深尾, 京司 & フカオ, キョウジ, 2003. "Vertical Intra-Industry Trade and the Division of Labor in East Asia," Discussion Paper Series a444, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    3. Ivan D. Trofimov, 2017. "Profit rates in the developed capitalist economies: a time series investigation," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 70(281), pages 85-128.
    4. ., 2013. "Japan's Alternating Phases of Growth and Future Outlook," Chapters, in: D. S.P. Rao & Bart van Ark (ed.), World Economic Performance, chapter 6, pages 136-161, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2017. "Profit rates in the developed capitalist economies: a time series investigation," MPRA Paper 79529, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ralph Paprzycki & Kyoji Fukao, 2004. "Overcoming economic stagnation in Japan: The importance of total factor productivity and the potential contribution of foreign direct investment," Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series d04-39, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    7. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2018. "The secular decline in profit rates: time series analysis of a classical hypothesis," MPRA Paper 88248, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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