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On the Harm that Pretesting Does

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  • Danilov, D.L.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

  • Magnus, J.R.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

Abstract

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  • Danilov, D.L. & Magnus, J.R., 2001. "On the Harm that Pretesting Does," Discussion Paper 2001-37, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiucen:f131c709-4db4-468d-9ae8-963c71e85d24
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    3. Zaman, A., 1984. "Avoiding model selection by the use of shrinkage techniques," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1-2), pages 73-85.
    4. Halbert White, 2000. "A Reality Check for Data Snooping," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(5), pages 1097-1126, September.
    5. Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2003. "The Finite-Sample Distribution Of Post-Model-Selection Estimators And Uniform Versus Nonuniform Approximations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 100-142, February.
    6. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    7. Lo, Andrew W & MacKinlay, A Craig, 1990. "Data-Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(3), pages 431-467.
    8. Lovell, Michael C, 1983. "Data Mining," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(1), pages 1-12, February.
    9. Thomson, Michael & Schmidt, Peter, 1982. "A Note on the Comparison of the Mean Square Error of Inequality Constrained Least Squares and Other Related Estimators," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(1), pages 174-176, February.
    10. Mittelhammer, R.C., 1984. "Restricted least squares, pre-test, ols and stein rule estimators: Risk comparisons under model misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1-2), pages 151-164.
    11. Roehrig, C.S., 1984. "Optimal critical regions for pre-test estimators using a Bayes risk criterion," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1-2), pages 3-14.
    12. Giles, Judith A & Giles, David E A, 1993. "Pre-test Estimation and Testing in Econometrics: Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 145-197, June.
    13. Feldstein, Martin S, 1973. "Multicollinearity and the Mean Square Error of Alternative Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(2), pages 337-346, March.
    14. Judge, G.G. & Bock, M.E., 1983. "Biased estimation," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 10, pages 599-649, Elsevier.
    15. Hendry, David F., 2001. "Achievements and challenges in econometric methodology," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 7-10, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. William E. Griffiths & Duangkamon Chotikapanich & D. S. Prasada Rao, 2005. "Averaging Income Distributions," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 347-367, October.
    2. Jan R. Magnus & Dmitry Danilov, 2004. "Forecast accuracy after pretesting with an application to the stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 251-274.
    3. C. L Chua & W. E. Griffiths & C. J O'Donnell, 2001. "Bayesian Model Averaging in Consumer Demand Systems with Inequality Constraints," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 49(3), pages 269-291, November.

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