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A scenario planning approach for disasters on Swiss road network

Author

Listed:
  • G. A. Mendes
  • K. W. Axhausen
  • J. S. Andrade, Jr
  • H. J. Herrmann

Abstract

We study a vehicular traffic scenario on Swiss roads in an emergency situation, calculating how sequentially roads block due to excessive traffic load until global collapse (gridlock) occurs and in this way displays the fragilities of the system. We used a database from Bundesamt f\"ur Raumentwicklung which contains length and maximum allowed speed of all roads in Switzerland. The present work could be interesting for government agencies in planning and managing for emergency logistics for a country or a big city. The model used to generate the flux on the Swiss road network was proposed by Mendes et al. [Physica A391, 362 (2012)]. It is based on the conservation of the number of vehicles and allows for an easy and fast way to follow the formation of traffic jams in large systems. We also analyze the difference between a nonlinear and a linear model and the distribution of fluxes on the Swiss road.

Suggested Citation

  • G. A. Mendes & K. W. Axhausen & J. S. Andrade, Jr & H. J. Herrmann, "undated". "A scenario planning approach for disasters on Swiss road network," Working Papers ETH-RC-14-009, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design.
    • Handle: RePEc:stz:wpaper:eth-rc-14-009
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhengfeng Huang & Pengjun Zheng & Gang Ren & Yang Cheng & Bin Ran, 2016. "Simultaneous optimization of evacuation route and departure time based on link-congestion mitigation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(1), pages 575-599, August.

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