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Effets incitatifs associes a l'aide sociale : approche de discontinuite de la regression

Author

Listed:
  • Milligan, Kevin
  • Lemieux, Thomas

Abstract

Avant 1989, les beneficiaires sans enfants de l'aide sociale au Quebec qui etaient ages de moins de 30 ans touchaient des prestations beaucoup moins elevees que les beneficiaires ages de plus de 30 ans. Nous utilisons cette discontinuite precise dans la politique pour estimer les effets de l'aide sociale sur divers resultats sur le marche du travail, a partir d'une approche de discontinuite de la regression. Nous disposons de preuves convaincantes que des prestations d'aide sociale plus genereuses ont pour effet de reduire l'emploi. Les estimations reagissent peu au degre de souplesse de la specification et se comportent tres bien lorsque nous controlons l'heterogeneite non observee a partir d'une specification de difference premiere. Enfin, nous montrons que les estimateurs de la difference des differences couramment utilises peuvent produire des resultats mediocres lorsqu'ils sont utilises avec des groupes temoins mal choisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Milligan, Kevin & Lemieux, Thomas, 2006. "Effets incitatifs associes a l'aide sociale : approche de discontinuite de la regression," Direction des études analytiques : documents de recherche 2006280f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:stc:stcp3f:2006280f
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    File URL: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/fr/catalogue/11F0019M2006280
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