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Limited impact of UPPs over criminality

Author

Listed:
  • Matheus Sérgio Custódio de Almeida
  • Paula Carvalho Pereda

Abstract

The effects of the implementation of UPPs have not yet been evaluated for its entire period. This paper aims to evaluate the impact on crime rates in the city of Rio de Janeiro using as control group districts of the city of São Paulo. Then, a difference-in-difference model is combined with a propensity score analysis. The results indicate that the UPPs were successful only in the initial years. The cost-effectiveness analysis of the program indicates an economic benefit of R$460 million, but net benefits are expected to vanish due to the limited effects of the policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Matheus Sérgio Custódio de Almeida & Paula Carvalho Pereda, 2019. "Limited impact of UPPs over criminality," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_34, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    • Handle: RePEc:spa:wpaper:2019wpecon34
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    File URL: http://www.repec.eae.fea.usp.br/documentos/Almeida_Pereda_34WP.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Public Security; UPPs; Differences-in-Differences; Panel Data.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Z18 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Public Policy
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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