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Central Asia’s Transition After Fifteen Years: Growth and Policy Choices

Author

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  • John Malcolm Dowling

    (School of Economics and Social Sciences, Singapore Management University)

  • Ganeshan Wignaraja

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

This paper presents a coherent and systematic analysis of the collapse and subsequent revival of the Central Asian Republics (CARs) since 1990. The focus is on the pattern of growth and structural change during the cycle of decline and subsequent revival in the CARs which have been inadequately analyzed in the literature on transition. The paper relates economic performance to initial conditions, country characteristics and policies. Within this framework, it proposes a simple typology of policies (including a new Type III set of policies on regional cooperation and industrial competitiveness) and relates them to the cycle of decline and revival in the CARs. It goes on to examine medium-term prospects and policy needs for the CARs.

Suggested Citation

  • John Malcolm Dowling & Ganeshan Wignaraja, 2006. "Central Asia’s Transition After Fifteen Years: Growth and Policy Choices," Working Papers 04-2006, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:siu:wpaper:04-2006
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    File URL: https://mercury.smu.edu.sg/rsrchpubupload/6061/World_Development.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Hippu Salk Kristle Nathan & Srijit Mishra, 2010. "Progress in human development: Are we on the right path?," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(3), pages 199-221.
    2. Andrii Hrona, 2020. "Foreign Currency Refinancing As A New Element Of Stimulating The Economic Development Of Transition Economies," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 6(5).
    3. Kedar Mehta & Mathias Ehrenwirth & Christoph Trinkl & Wilfried Zörner & Rick Greenough, 2021. "The Energy Situation in Central Asia: A Comprehensive Energy Review Focusing on Rural Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-27, May.
    4. Aigul Islamjanova & Issah Iddrisu & Rathny Suy & Dinara Bekbauova & Amran Said Suleiman, 2017. "The Impact of Silk Road Economic Belt on Economic Development of the Republic of Kazakhstan: The Case of Khorgos City," Journal of Social Science Studies, Macrothink Institute, vol. 4(2), pages 177-192, July.
    5. Arman Mazhikeyev & T. Huw Edwards, 2021. "Post-colonial trade between Russia and former Soviet republics: back to big brother?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 877-918, August.
    6. Libman, Alexander, 2006. "Взаимодействие Стран Снг С Азиатскими Интеграционными Группировками [Interaction of the CIS countries with Asian integration projects]," MPRA Paper 16620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Mazhikeyev, Arman & Edwards, T. Huw & Rizov, Marian, 2015. "Openness and isolation: The trade performance of the former Soviet Central Asian countries," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 935-947.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    growth; economic reform; regional cooperation; industrial competitiveness; Central Asia; transitional economies;
    All these keywords.

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