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Does Supply-Leading Hypothesis hold in a Developing Economy? A Nigerian Focus

Author

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  • OLUFEMI ADEYEYE

    (University of KwaZulu_Natal)

Abstract

The financial sector provides services that have been identified as germane for the growth of an economy. The principal function of the financial sector is the movement of financial resources between different units in an economy through the process of financial intermediation. An economy suffers if the financial sector is not efficient. An efficient financial sector can only exist when development occurs in the financial sector. However, the supply-leading hypothesis assumes that financial development is the driver of economic growth. Thus this study inquires into whether the supply-leading hypothesis can be upheld in a developing economy, with particular reference to the Nigerian economic growth between 1981 and 2013. Using the Granger Pairwise causality test, it reveals that there is weak evidence in support of supply-leading hypothesis and the demand-following hypothesis is dominant in the economy. However, the study suggests that there is bi-directional causality between financial development and economic growth which thus confirms the existence of their interdependence in Nigeria context.

Suggested Citation

  • Olufemi Adeyeye, 2015. "Does Supply-Leading Hypothesis hold in a Developing Economy? A Nigerian Focus," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 2204823, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:sek:iefpro:2204823
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chow, Sheung Chi & Vieito, João Paulo & Wong, Wing Keung, 2019. "Do both demand-following and supply-leading theories hold true in developing countries?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 536-554.
    2. Okuyan Hasan Aydın, 2022. "The Nexus of Financial Development and Economic Growth Across Developing Economies," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 125-140, June.
    3. Olufemi Adewale Aluko & Olufemi Patrick Adeyeye & Patrick Olajide Oladele, 2020. "Finance–growth nexus in sub-Saharan Africa revisited: evidence based on a new composite index," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 333-355, May.
    4. Brou Emmanuel AKA & Yao Silvère KONAN, 2023. "Frequency domain causality analysis of financial development and economic growth in Côte d’Ivoire," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(635), S), pages 163-182, Summer.
    5. Adeola Yahya Oyebowale & Noah Kofi Karley, 2018. "Investigating Finance-Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(9), pages 121-121, September.
    6. Ahmed S. Alimi & Idris A. Adediran, 2020. "ICT diffusion and the finance–growth nexus: a panel analysis on ECOWAS countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Samuel Orekoya & Joseph Afolaby & Oluwatoyin Akintunde, 2021. "Bank-Based versus Stock Market-Based Development in Nigeria: A Fully-Modified Ordinary Least Squares Approach," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 13(1), pages 33-45, June.
    8. Brou Emmanuel AKA, 2023. "Revisiting the finance-growth nexus in Nigeria using frequency domain approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(637), W), pages 265-280, Winter.
    9. Nageri Kamaldeen Ibraheem, 2020. "Ease of Doing Business and Capital Market Development in a Demand Following Hypothesis: Evidence from ECOWAS," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 30(4), pages 24-54, December.
    10. Aluko, Olufemi Adewale & Opoku, Eric Evans Osei, 2022. "The financial development impact of financial globalization revisited: A focus on OECD countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 13-29.
    11. Iqbal, Athar & Khan, Muhammad Irfan & Riaz, Samina, 2017. "The Causality between Equity Market Development and Economic Growth: An Egg and Chicken Problem?," MPRA Paper 103038, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Dec 2017.
    12. Adeola Y. Oyebowale, 2020. "Determinants of Bank Lending in Nigeria," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(3), pages 378-398, September.
    13. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    14. Gonca Atici, 2018. "Islamic (Participation) Banking and Economic Growth: Empirical Focus on Turkey," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(11), pages 1354-1364, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    supply-leading hypothesis; financial development; economic growth; causality test; Nigeria;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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