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The cost of Non-Communicable Diseases in the European Union; A future projection

Author

Listed:
  • Désirée Vandenberghe

    (Ghent University)

  • Johan Albrecht

    (Ghent University)

Abstract

Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are responsible for 90% of deaths in the European Union (EU) and impose significant costs on the health care system and society as a whole. The aim of this paper is to offer perspective into the evolution of NCD costs in the EU by 2050. Through a non-homogeneous, semi-Markov state-transition model, the future costs of major NCDs under the current health policy framework are explored. Additionally, we assess potential costs savings under a framework with additional population-based prevention measures, focused on limiting lifestyle-related risk factors. Under the current policy framework, we find that health care and economic costs could increase by respectively 80% and 60% in 2050, which is equivalent to a total cost increase of over 70% due to NCDs in the EU. Cost-effective prevention efforts can limit this total cost increase by 20% and prevent over half a million deaths.

Suggested Citation

  • Désirée Vandenberghe & Johan Albrecht, 2019. "The cost of Non-Communicable Diseases in the European Union; A future projection," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 9412102, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:sek:iacpro:9412102
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    File URL: https://iises.net/proceedings/iises-international-academic-conference-paris/table-of-content/detail?cid=94&iid=036&rid=12102
    File Function: First version, 2019
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-communicable disease; European Union; Markov process; financial impact; prevention policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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