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The Relationship between Energy Use, GDP, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Population, Financial Development, and Industrialization: The Case of Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Esra Ball?

    (Çukurova University)

  • Salih Çam

    (Çukurova University)

  • Müge Manga

    (Çukurova University)

  • Çiler Sigeze

    (Çukurova University)

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between energy use, GDP, carbon dioxide emissions, population, financial development, and industrialization utilizing ARDL and artificial neural network for Turkey. The data covers the period from 1968 to 2013. The study performed a two stage analysis. At the first stage, we examined the long run relationship and causality between variables. The variables are found to be cointegrated. The Granger causality test results shows that there is a unidirectional causality running from energy use to both carbon dioxide emissions and industrialization. According to the artificial neural network results, the most important effect on energy use comes from GDP. The predicted energy use from 1968 to 2013 has maximum absolute error of % 11. 31 and minimum absolute error of %0.07. Neural network evidence shows that the R-square coefficient is 98% for the sample period.

Suggested Citation

  • Esra Ball? & Salih Çam & Müge Manga & Çiler Sigeze, 2017. "The Relationship between Energy Use, GDP, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Population, Financial Development, and Industrialization: The Case of Turkey," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 4607826, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:sek:iacpro:4607826
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    File URL: https://iises.net/proceedings/31st-international-academic-conference-london/table-of-content/detail?cid=46&iid=009&rid=7826
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy use; ARDL; Neural network; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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