IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/sce/scecf1/195.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Heterogeneous Expectations, Currency Options and the euro/dollar exchange rate

Author

Listed:
  • Rzepkowski Bronka

Abstract

An exchange rate model with heterogeneous expectations is developed in which agents are subject to mutual mimetic contagion in their portfolio decisions. Two alternative sources of heterogeneity are tested in order to explain the short-term dynamics of the euro/dollar since January 1999. Information conveyed by over-the-counter currency options allows the time-varying proportions of each category of agents to be inferred, as well as their respective exchange rate expectations and standard deviations. The proportion of optimistic agents in the evolution of the euro and the proportion of confident agents in their exchange rate anticipations induce portfolio reallocations, which generate euro/dollar forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Rzepkowski Bronka, 2001. "Heterogeneous Expectations, Currency Options and the euro/dollar exchange rate," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 195, Society for Computational Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf1:195
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    contagion; probability density function; heterogeneous expectations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sce:scecf1:195. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sceeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.