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Risk assessment of projects with R&D using the risk measure VaR and ES
[Оценка рисков проектов С R&D с помощью меры риска VaR И ES]

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  • Minasyan, Vigen (Минасян, Виген)

    (The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

The preprint was prepared on the basis of research work carried out at the RANEPA under the President of the Russian Federation in 2019. This paper proposes a model for assessing the risks of projects of companies in which there is R&D (Research & Development) - research and development work (R&D), a set of measures that includes both scientific research and the production of prototypes and small-scale samples products prior to the launch of a new product or system into industrial production. In this work, a method for assessing the corresponding risks was developed using a modified VaR measure for this application. The constructed model makes it possible to assess the risks of projects with R&D using the risk measure VaR with all possible parameters present in the model. At the same time, the paper analyzes the level of influence of projects with R&D on the economy as a whole.

Suggested Citation

  • Minasyan, Vigen (Минасян, Виген), 2020. "Risk assessment of projects with R&D using the risk measure VaR and ES [Оценка рисков проектов С R&D с помощью меры риска VaR И ES]," Working Papers 052027, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  • Handle: RePEc:rnp:wpaper:052027
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