Commodity Structure of Imports of the Russian Federation During the Period of the Foreign Trade Embargo[Товарная Структура Импорта Рф В Период Внешнеторгового Эмбарго]

The purpose of this research is to study the dynamics of import flows in Russia in 2013-2015, using the tools of regression models. The timeframe from 2013 to 2015 includes events destabilizing the dynamics of imports, in particular: the political crisis in Ukraine, trade sanctions introduced in 2014, the economic recession of the Russian economy. The authors evaluate the impact of these events and measures on the commodity, country and geographical structure of the import flows to the Russian Federation. The authors use data on imports of certain goods to the regions of Russia through border points for the period from 2013 to 2015 in order to evaluate a number of econometric models linking the intensity of the commodity flow from the counterparty country to the Russian region with the characteristics of the country, region, product. We also assess the model for the disaggregated flows of imported goods from foreign countries to the regions of the Russian Federation through border checkpoints in order to assess the impact of foreign trade shocks on the routing of cargo transportation.