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The Future Expansion of HVDC Power Transmission in Brazil: A Scenario-Based Economic Evaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Köhnke Mendonça, Christian

    (RWTH Aachen University)

  • Oberst, Christian A.

    (E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN))

  • Madlener, Reinhard

    (E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN))

Abstract

We discuss the expected future needs of the Brazilian electric grid operators for High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) transmission lines against the background of a changing electricity sector in Brazil. On account of the spatial mismatch between the additional generation potential and the expected future electricity demand, a need for investments in long-distance transmission capacity is postulated. Due to the low losses incurred, HVDC technology is particularly suitable for this. For the analysis, we use different expansion scenarios for the year 2035 that are mainly based on hydropower or alternative renewable energy sources (primarily wind and solar power). Linear optimization is used to determine the optimal HVDC transmission lines to connect regions. The results show that large investments in HVDC transmission are needed, especially in the case of hydropower expansion, and that transmission capacity is a critical factor in the process of expanding the renewable energy generation capacity in Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Köhnke Mendonça, Christian & Oberst, Christian A. & Madlener, Reinhard, 2015. "The Future Expansion of HVDC Power Transmission in Brazil: A Scenario-Based Economic Evaluation," FCN Working Papers 14/2015, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:fcnwpa:2015_014
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chang, Nicolás C. P. & Oberst, Christian A. & Madlener, Reinhard, 2015. "Economic Policy Evaluation for the Deployment of Alternative Energy Sources in Brazil," FCN Working Papers 13/2015, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN).
    2. Dutra, Ricardo Marques & Szklo, Alexandre Salem, 2008. "Incentive policies for promoting wind power production in Brazil: Scenarios for the Alternative Energy Sources Incentive Program (PROINFA) under the New Brazilian electric power sector regulation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 65-76.
    3. Pereira, Marcio Giannini & Camacho, Cristiane Farias & Freitas, Marcos Aurélio Vasconcelos & Silva, Neilton Fidelis da, 2012. "The renewable energy market in Brazil: Current status and potential," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 3786-3802.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    HVDC transmission lines; Grid planning; Energy transition; Spatial mismatch;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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