IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/ewikln/2019_004.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Reformed EU ETS - Intertemporal Emission Trading with Restricted Banking

Author

Listed:
  • Bocklet, Johanna

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI))

  • Hintermayer, Martin

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI))

  • Schmidt, Lukas

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI))

  • Wildgrube, Theresa

    (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI))

Abstract

With the increase of the linear reduction factor (LRF), the implementation of the market stability reserve (MSR) and the introduction of the cancellation mechanism (CM), the EU ETS changed fundamentally. We develop a discrete time model of the intertemporal allowance market that accurately depicts these reforms assuming that prices develop with the Hotelling rule as long as the TNAC is non-empty. A sensitivity analysis ensures the robustness of the model results regarding its input parameters. The accurate modelling of the EU ETS allows for a decomposition of the effects of the individual amendments and the evaluation of the dynamic efficiency. The MSR shifts emissions to the future but is allowance preserving. The CM reduces the overall emission cap, increasing allowance prices in the long run, but does not significantly impact the emission and price path in the short run. The increased LRF leads with 9 billion cancelled allowances to a stronger reduction than the CM and is therefore the main price driver of the reform.

Suggested Citation

  • Bocklet, Johanna & Hintermayer, Martin & Schmidt, Lukas & Wildgrube, Theresa, 2019. "The Reformed EU ETS - Intertemporal Emission Trading with Restricted Banking," EWI Working Papers 2019-4, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ewikln:2019_004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ewi.uni-koeln.de/cms/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/EWI_WP_19-04_The_Reformed_EU_ETS.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harold Hotelling, 1931. "The Economics of Exhaustible Resources," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(2), pages 137-137.
    2. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4611 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Karsten Neuhoff & Anne Schopp & Rodney Boyd & Kateryna Stelmakh & Alexander Vasa, 2012. "Banking of Surplus Emissions Allowances: Does the Volume Matter?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1196, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    4. Perino, Grischa & Willner, Maximilian, 2016. "Procrastinating reform: The impact of the market stability reserve on the EU ETS," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 37-52.
    5. Carlén, Björn & Dahlqvist, Anna & Mandell, Svante & Marklund, Pelle, 2019. "EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism - Effects of national measures," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 816-825.
    6. Julien Chevallier, 2012. "Banking And Borrowing In The Eu Ets: A Review Of Economic Modelling, Current Provisions And Prospects For Future Design," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 157-176, February.
    7. Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Émile J.L. & de Vries, Laurens J., 2015. "The market (in-)stability reserve for EU carbon emission trading: Why it might fail and how to improve it," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-18.
    8. Rubin, Jonathan D., 1996. "A Model of Intertemporal Emission Trading, Banking, and Borrowing," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 269-286, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bocklet, Johanna, 2020. "The Reformed EU ETS in Times of Economic Crises: the Case of the COVID-19 Pandemic," EWI Working Papers 2020-10, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    2. Bocklet, Johanna & Hintermayer, Martin & Schmidt, Lukas & Wildgrube, Theresa, 2019. "The reformed EU ETS - Intertemporal emission trading with restricted banking," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Quemin, Simon & Trotignon, Raphaël, 2021. "Emissions trading with rolling horizons," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    4. Tietjen, Oliver & Lessmann, Kai & Pahle, Michael, 2021. "Hedging and temporal permit issuances in cap-and-trade programs: The Market Stability Reserve under risk aversion," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Ulrik Beck & Peter K. Kruse-Andersen, 2020. "Endogenizing the Cap in a Cap-and-Trade System: Assessing the Agreement on EU ETS Phase 4," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(4), pages 781-811, December.
    6. Hintermayer, Martin, 2020. "A carbon price floor in the reformed EU ETS: Design matters!," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    7. Herweg, Fabian, 2020. "Overlapping efforts in the EU Emissions Trading System," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    8. Hintermayer, Martin, 2020. "A Carbon Price Floor in the Reformed EU ETS: Design Matters!," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224576, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Schmidt, Lukas, 2020. "Puncturing the Waterbed or the New Green Paradox? The Effectiveness of Overlapping Policies in the EU ETS under Perfect Foresight and Myopia," EWI Working Papers 2020-7, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    10. Wildgrube, Theresa, 2022. "Fit for 55? An assessment of the effectiveness of the EU COM's reform proposal for the EU ETS," EWI Working Papers 2022-4, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    11. Bruninx, Kenneth & Ovaere, Marten & Delarue, Erik, 2020. "The long-term impact of the market stability reserve on the EU emission trading system," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    12. Osorio, Sebastian & Tietjen, Oliver & Pahle, Michael & Pietzcker, Robert C. & Edenhofer, Ottmar, 2021. "Reviewing the Market Stability Reserve in light of more ambitious EU ETS emission targets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    13. Grischa Perino & Maximilian Willner, 2019. "Rushing the Impatient: Allowance Reserves and the Time Profile of Low-Carbon Investments," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(2), pages 845-863, October.
    14. Hintermayer, Martin, 2020. "A Carbon Price Floor in the Reformed EU ETS: Design matters!," EWI Working Papers 2020-3, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    15. Quemin, Simon, 2022. "Raising climate ambition in emissions trading systems: The case of the EU ETS and the 2021 review," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    16. Johanna Bocklet & Martin Hintermayer, 2020. "How Does the EU ETS Reform Impact Allowance Prices? The Role of Myopia, Hedging Requirements and the Hotelling Rule," CESifo Working Paper Series 8579, CESifo.
    17. Bocklet, Johanna & Hintermayer, Martin, 2020. "How does the EU ETS reform impact allowance prices? The role of myopia, hedging requirements and the Hotelling rule," EWI Working Papers 2020-1, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    18. Perino, Grischa & Willner, Maximilian, 2017. "Why the EU Market Stability Reserve deters long-term low-carbon investments," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 44, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    19. Simon Quemin, 2020. "Using Supply-Side Policies to Raise Ambition: The Case of the EU ETS and the 2021 Review," Working Papers 2002, Chaire Economie du climat.
    20. Simon Quemin & Raphael Trotignon, 2018. "Competitive Permit Storage and Market Design: An Application to the EU-ETS," Working Papers 2018.19, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market Stability Reserve; Dynamic Optimization; Cap and Trade; EU ETS; Cancellation Mechanism; Intertemporal Trading;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods
    • P14 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Property Rights
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:ewikln:2019_004. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sabine Williams (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ewikode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.