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Impact des coûts de transport maritime de marchandises sur l'inflation au Maroc

Author

Listed:
  • Hajjaji, Saida

    (Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche)

  • Lahlou, Kamal

    (Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche)

Abstract

Le transport de marchandises par voie maritime contribue à l’acheminement de près de 80% du commerce mondial. En raison des perturbations économiques, logistiques et géopolitiques liées notamment à la Covid-19, les indices mondiaux des taux de fret ont atteint en 2021 leur plus haut niveau historique, concourant au renchérissement des prix des produits importés. Au regard de l’ouverture de l’économie marocaine, ce travail s’attèle à analyser l'impact des coûts de transport maritime de marchandises sur l'inflation. En s’appuyant sur deux indicateurs internationaux de référence, à savoir Harpex et Baltic, les modèles SVAR estimés sur des données mensuelles couvrant la période 2012-2022 révèlent des effets significatifs et relativement persistants (entre 8 et 12 mois) sur l’inflation globale, sous-jacente et des biens échangeables.' '

Suggested Citation

  • Hajjaji, Saida & Lahlou, Kamal, 2025. "Impact des coûts de transport maritime de marchandises sur l'inflation au Maroc," Document de travail 2024-2, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:bkamdt:2024_002
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transport maritime; coûts de fret; inflation; chaînes de valeur mondiales; SVAR avec restrictions des signes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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