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Fiscal Sustainability in Developing Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Adams, Charles

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Ferrarini, Benno

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Park, Donghyun

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

The central objective of this paper is to empirically examine the issue of fiscal sustainability in developing Asia. To do so, we first diagnose the region’s public finances by analyzing the evolution of key fiscal indicators over time and across subregions. We then estimate fiscal policy response functions that measure the adjustment of the primary fiscal balance to public debt positions. Overall, our results indicate that the region’s public finances are in good shape as a result of responsible fiscal behavior. Nevertheless, failure to withdraw the region’s anticrisis fiscal stimulus in a timely manner may jeopardize fiscal sustainability, bolstering the case for strong medium-term fiscal policy frameworks.

Suggested Citation

  • Adams, Charles & Ferrarini, Benno & Park, Donghyun, 2010. "Fiscal Sustainability in Developing Asia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 205, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0205
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dauda Gbolagade Adebisi & Gbadebo Salako, 2020. "Fiscal policy sustainability in Nigeria: ARDL bounds testing technique," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 74-80, March.
    2. Morgan, Peter J., 2012. "The role of macroeconomic policy in rebalancing growth," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 13-25.
    3. Balbir Kaur & Atri Mukherjee & Anand Prakash Ekka, 2018. "Debt sustainability of states in India: An assessment," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 93-129, December.
    4. Masahiro Kawai & Peter J. Morgan, 2013. "Long-term Issues for Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Asia," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 9(4), pages 751-770, September.
    5. M. R. Anantha Ramu, 2021. "Public debt sustainability in sub-national level: a case of Karnataka," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 463-485, December.
    6. Shruti SHASTRI & A.K. GIRI & Geetilaxmi MOHAPATRA, 2017. "An empirical assessment of fiscal sustainability for selected South Asian economies," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 163-178, Spring.
    7. Tapan Kumar Sarker, 2015. "The role of fiscal sustainability in enhancing sustainable economic growth in South Asia: the case of Bangladesh," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 22(1), pages 143-164, June.
    8. Okwoche Princewill U. & Iheonu Chimere O., 2021. "Determinants of fiscal effort in sub-Saharan African countries: Does conflict matter?," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 50-73, June.
    9. Olusola Joel Oyeleke, 2021. "On the Non-Linear Relationship between Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: The Nigeria Experience," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 27(2), pages 105-117, May.
    10. Bart W. Edes & Peter J. Morgan, 2014. "Managing Fiscal Sustainability and Aging in Emerging Asia," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 10(2), pages 319-348, August.
    11. Shruti SHASTRI & A.K. GIRI & Geetilaxmi MOHAPATRA, 2017. "An empirical assessment of fiscal sustainability for selected South Asian economies," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 163-178, Spring.
    12. P.S. Renjith & K.R. Shanmugam, 2018. "Sustainable Debt Policies of Indian State Governments," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 12(2), pages 224-243, May.
    13. Narayana, M.R., 2014. "Impact of population ageing on sustainability of India’s current fiscal policies: A Generational Accounting approach," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 71-83.
    14. Roy, Rathin, 2014. "Room at the Top: An Overview of Fiscal Space, Fiscal Policy and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asia," Working Papers 14/135, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    15. Ferrarini , Benno & Ramayandi, Arief, 2015. "Public Debt Sustainability in Developing Asia: An Update," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 468, Asian Development Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal sustainability; Asia; fiscal policy; fiscal balance; public debt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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