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The Causes and Consequences of Refugee Flows: A Contemporary Re-Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew Shaver

    (University of California, Merced)

  • Benjamin Krick

    (Political Violence Lab)

  • Judy Blancaflor

    (Political Violence Lab)

  • Sarah Yein Ku

    (Political Violence Lab)

  • Xavier Liu

    (Political Violence Lab)

Abstract

The world faces a forcible displacement crisis. Across the world, tens of millions of individuals have been forced from their homes and across international boundaries. The causes and consequences of refugee flows are, therefore, the subjects of significant social science inquiry. Unfortunately, historical lack of reliable data on actual refugee flows has significantly limited empirical inferences on these topics. Using data newly released by the United Nations on annual dyadic flows, we replicate twenty-seven studies published in economics and political science journals on the causes and consequences of these flows. We extend fourteen of these. We find that some of the causes of flows described in the literature are less substantively and/or statistically significant than previously reported while others are more. Generally, with some exceptions, we find that previously reported effects of refugees on security conditions are attenuated, suggesting that the literature’s predominant focus on refugees as sources of violent instability may be overstated.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Shaver & Benjamin Krick & Judy Blancaflor & Sarah Yein Ku & Xavier Liu, 2022. "The Causes and Consequences of Refugee Flows: A Contemporary Re-Analysis," Empirical Studies of Conflict Project (ESOC) Working Papers 29, Empirical Studies of Conflict Project.
  • Handle: RePEc:pri:esocpu:29
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    File URL: https://esoc.princeton.edu/WP29
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Refugees; Asylum Seekers; Terrorism; Civil War;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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