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Can you move to opportunity? Evidence from the Great Migration

Author

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  • Ellora Derenoncourt

    (Princeton University)

Abstract

This paper shows that racial composition shocks during the Great Migration (1940-1970) reduced the gains from growing up in the northern United States for Black families and can explain 27% of the region’s racial upward mobility gap today. I identify northern Black share increases by interacting pre-1940 Black migrants’ location choices with predicted southern county out-migration. Locational changes, not negative selection of families, explain lower upward mobility, with persistent segregation and increased crime and policing as plausible mechanisms. The case of the Great Migration provides a more nuanced view of moving to opportunity when destination reactions are taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Ellora Derenoncourt, 2021. "Can you move to opportunity? Evidence from the Great Migration," Working Papers 2021-17, Princeton University. Economics Department..
  • Handle: RePEc:pri:econom:2021-17
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    Cited by:

    1. Muñoz, Ercio, 2021. "Does it Matter Where You Grow up? Childhood Exposure Effects in Latin America and the Caribbean," Research Department working papers 1843, CAF Development Bank Of Latinamerica.
    2. Alberto Alesina & Marco Tabellini, 2024. "The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 5-46, March.
    3. Eden, Maya, 2023. "Quantifying racial discrimination in the 1944 G.I. bill," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Traettino, Salvador, 2023. "Migración forzada y finanzas públicas locales: evidencia de los municipios en Colombia," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12926, Inter-American Development Bank.
    5. Rustam Jamilov, 2022. "Social Capital and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 2219, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    6. Salvador Traettino, 2022. "Migración forzada y finanzas públicas locales: Evidencia de los municipios en Colombia," Documentos CEDE 20335, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration;

    JEL classification:

    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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