Econophysics of Asset Price, Return and Multiple Expectations
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Victor Olkhov, 2019. "Econophysics of Asset Price, Return and Multiple Expectations," Papers 1901.05024, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
References listed on IDEAS
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2005.
"Optimal Expectations,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(4), pages 1092-1118, September.
- Brunnermeier, Markus K. & Parker, Jonathan A., 2002. "Optimal expectations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24954, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Brunnermeier, Markus & Parker, Jonathan A, 2004. "Optimal Expectation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4656, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2004. "Optimal Expectations," NBER Working Papers 10707, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jonathan A. Parker & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2004. "Optimal Expectations," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 426, Econometric Society.
- Jonathan Parker & Markus K Brunnermeier, 2002. "Optimal Expectations," FMG Discussion Papers dp434, Financial Markets Group.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2002. "Optimal Expectations," Working Papers 146, Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Discussion Papers in Economics.
- Hansen, Lars Peter & Sargent, Thomas J., 1980.
"Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 7-46, May.
- Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1979. "Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models," Working Papers 127, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- John Heaton & Deborah Lucas, 2000.
"Stock prices and fundamentals,"
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Apr.
- John Heaton & Deborah Lucas, 2000. "Stock Prices and Fundamentals," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1999, Volume 14, pages 213-264, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sargent, Thomas J. & Wallace, Neil, 1976.
"Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 169-183, April.
- Thomas J. Sargent & Neil Wallace, 1974. "Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy," Working Papers 29, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Gontis, V. & Havlin, S. & Kononovicius, A. & Podobnik, B. & Stanley, H.E., 2016. "Stochastic model of financial markets reproducing scaling and memory in volatility return intervals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 1091-1102.
- Campbell, John Y., 1987.
"Stock returns and the term structure,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 373-399, June.
- John Y. Campbell, 1985. "Stock Returns and the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 1626, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Campbell, John, 1987. "Stock Returns and the Term Structure," Scholarly Articles 3207699, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2016. "Finance, risk and economic space," MPRA Paper 87172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2017. "Econophysics of Business Cycles: Aggregate Economic Fluctuations, Mean Risks and Mean Square Risks," Papers 1709.00282, arXiv.org.
- John Y. Campbell & John Cochrane, 1999.
"Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(2), pages 205-251, April.
- John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane, 1994. "By force of habit: a consumption-based explanation of aggregate stock market behavior," Working Papers 94-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane, 1995. "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior," NBER Working Papers 4995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Campbell, John & Cochrane, John H., 1999. "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior," Scholarly Articles 3119444, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane, 1994. "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior," CRSP working papers 412, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
- van Binsbergen, Jules H. & Koijen, Ralph S.J., 2017.
"The term structure of returns: Facts and theory,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 1-21.
- Koijen, Ralph & van Binsbergen, Jules, 2015. "The Term Structure of Returns: Facts and Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 10633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jules H. van Binsbergen & Ralph S.J. Koijen, 2015. "The Term Structure of Returns: Facts and Theory," NBER Working Papers 21234, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gopikrishnan, P. & Plerou, V. & Gabaix, X. & Amaral, L.A.N. & Stanley, H.E., 2001. "Price fluctuations and market activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 299(1), pages 137-143.
- Charles F. Manski, 2018.
"Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 32(1), pages 411-471.
- Charles F. Manski, 2017. "Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, pages 411-471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Charles F. Manski, 2017. "Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise," NBER Working Papers 23418, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ben S. Bernanke & Julio J. Rotemberg (ed.), 2000. "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1999," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262522713, April.
- Keim, Donald B. & Stambaugh, Robert F., 1986.
"Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 357-390, December.
- Donald B. Keim & Robert F. Stambaugh, "undated". "Predicting Returns in the Stock and Bond Markets," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 15-85, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Ebens, Heiko, 2001. "The distribution of realized stock return volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 43-76, July.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, 2014.
"Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(3), pages 714-746.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, "undated". "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," Working Paper 102501, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Greenwood, Robin Marc & Shleifer, Andrei, 2014. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," Scholarly Articles 11880390, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, 2013. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," NBER Working Papers 18686, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Expectations, Price Fluctuations and Lorenz Attractor," MPRA Paper 89105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hansen, Lars Peter, 2013.
"Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models,"
Nobel Prize in Economics documents
2013-7, Nobel Prize Committee.
- Lars Peter Hansen, 2014. "Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models," NBER Working Papers 20394, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brock, William A. & Hommes, Cars H., 1998.
"Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(8-9), pages 1235-1274, August.
- Brock, W.A. & Hommes, C.H., 1996. "Hetergeneous Beliefs and Routes to Chaos in a Simple Asset Pricing Model," Working papers 9621, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- V. Plerou & P. Gopikrishnan & X. Gabaix & L. A. N. Amaral & H. E. Stanley, 2001. "Price fluctuations, market activity and trading volume," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 262-269.
- Fama, Eugene F., 1998.
"Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 283-306, September.
- Eugene F Fama, "undated". "Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance," CRSP working papers 448, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
- Eugene F. Fama, "undated". "Market Efficiency, Long-term Returns, and Behavioral Finance," CRSP working papers 340, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
- Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski, 2011.
"Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 352-370, April.
- Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski, 2005. "Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns," NBER Working Papers 11313, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- V. Plerou & P. Gopikrishnan & L. A. N. Amaral & M. Meyer & H. E. Stanley, 1999. "Scaling of the distribution of price fluctuations of individual companies," Papers cond-mat/9907161, arXiv.org.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2016. "On Economic Space notion," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 372-381.
- Ben S. Bernanke & Julio J. Rotemberg, 2000. "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1999, Volume 14," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number bern00-1.
- Blume, Lawrence E. & Easley, David, 1984. "Rational expectations equilibrium: An alternative approach," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 116-129, October.
- Vygintas Gontis & Shlomo Havlin & Aleksejus Kononovicius & Boris Podobnik & H. Eugene Stanley, 2015. "Stochastic model of financial markets reproducing scaling and memory in volatility return intervals," Papers 1507.05203, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2017. "Quantitative Description of Financial Transactions and Risks," MPRA Paper 87316, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lucas, Robert Jr., 1972. "Expectations and the neutrality of money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 103-124, April.
- Benoit Mandelbrot & Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet, 1997.
"A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1164, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher & Benoit Mandelbrot, 1999. "A Multifractal Model of Assets Returns," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-072, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
- Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Benoît B. Mandelbrot & Adlai J. Fisher, 2011. "A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns," Working Papers hal-00601870, HAL.
- Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2003. "A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6937), pages 267-270, May.
- Stanley, H. Eugene & Plerou, Vasiliki & Gabaix, Xavier, 2008. "A statistical physics view of financial fluctuations: Evidence for scaling and universality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3967-3981.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New Essentials of Economic Theory," MPRA Paper 95065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2020.
"Business Cycles as Collective Risk Fluctuations,"
MPRA Paper
104598, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2020. "Business Cycles as Collective Risk Fluctuations," Papers 2012.04506, arXiv.org.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019.
"New Essentials of Economic Theory I. Assumptions, Economic Space and Variables,"
MPRA Paper
93085, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New Essentials of Economic Theory I. Assumptions, Economic Space and Variables," MPRA Paper 94874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New essentials of economic theory II. Economic transactions, expectations and asset pricing," MPRA Paper 93428, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New Essentials of Economic Theory III. Economic Applications," MPRA Paper 94053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New Essentials of Economic Theory III. Economic Applications," MPRA Paper 94053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Expectations, Price Fluctuations and Lorenz Attractor," MPRA Paper 89105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New Essentials of Economic Theory," MPRA Paper 95065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2019. "Financial Variables, Market Transactions, and Expectations as Functions of Risk," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-27, November.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New essentials of economic theory II. Economic transactions, expectations and asset pricing," MPRA Paper 93428, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "Methods of Economic Theory: Variables, Transactions and Expectations as Functions of Risks," MPRA Paper 95628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2020.
"Price, Volatility and the Second-Order Economic Theory,"
Papers
2009.14278, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2020. "Price, Volatility and the Second-Order Economic Theory," MPRA Paper 102767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2022.
"Why Economic Theories and Policies Fail? Unnoticed Variables and Overlooked Economics,"
MPRA Paper
114187, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2022. "Why Economic Theories and Policies Fail? Unnoticed Variables and Overlooked Economics," Papers 2208.07839, arXiv.org.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2020.
"Classical Option Pricing and Some Steps Further,"
MPRA Paper
105431, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Dec 2020.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2020. "Classical Option Pricing and Some Steps Further," MPRA Paper 99918, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2020. "Classical Option Pricing and Some Steps Further," Papers 2004.13708, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2018.
"Economic Transactions Govern Business Cycles,"
MPRA Paper
87207, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Economic Transactions Govern Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 88531, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Aug 2018.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Economic and Financial Transactions Govern Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 93269, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Stochastic behavioral asset pricing models and the stylized facts," Economics Working Papers 2008-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019.
"New Essentials of Economic Theory I. Assumptions, Economic Space and Variables,"
MPRA Paper
93085, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2019. "New Essentials of Economic Theory I. Assumptions, Economic Space and Variables," MPRA Paper 94874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2023.
"Market-Based Probability of Stock Returns,"
Papers
2302.07935, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "The Market-Based Probability of Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 116234, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Vygintas Gontis, 2021. "Order flow in the financial markets from the perspective of the Fractional L\'evy stable motion," Papers 2105.02057, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
- Committee, Nobel Prize, 2013. "Understanding Asset Prices," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
- V. Gontis & A. Kononovicius, 2017. "Burst and inter-burst duration statistics as empirical test of long-range memory in the financial markets," Papers 1701.01255, arXiv.org.
- Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius, 2017. "Spurious memory in non-equilibrium stochastic models of imitative behavior," Papers 1707.09801, arXiv.org.
- John H. Cochrane, 2017.
"Macro-Finance,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 945-985.
- John H. Cochrane, 2016. "Macro-Finance," NBER Working Papers 22485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel, Kent & Hirshleifer, David & Teoh, Siew Hong, 2002. "Investor psychology in capital markets: evidence and policy implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 139-209, January.
More about this item
Keywords
financial transactions; expectations; economic space; asset price; return;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
- G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-MAC-2019-02-04 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:91587. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.