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Brasil sem imigrantes: estimativas de longo prazo baseadas em microdados
[Brazil without immigrants: microdata long run estimates]

Author

Listed:
  • Monasterio, Leonardo
  • Lopes, Daniel

Abstract

This paper estimates the effect of non-Iberian immigration to Brazil based on historical and contemporary microdata. The historical database encompasses over 1.7 million immigrant records; the contemporary has more than 165 million records. The estimation of immigrant numeracy suggests that Stolz, Baten e Botelho (2013) underestimated their skills and, therefore, their impact on Brazil. An algorithm classified the surnames of contemporary Brazilians according to their ancestral origins. Two counterfactual estimates are constructed in order to estimate the income per capita if there had never been any non-Iberian immigration. The first counterfactual is built upon the regression of income on the percentages of each ancestral group in municipalities. The second, results from the regression of individual wages on the surname ancestry of workers. The coefficients of these regressions are used to estimate the income of a counterfactual Brazil with no descendants of immigrants. It was estimated that in the absence of non-Iberian immigrants today’s income would be from 12.6% to 17% lower.

Suggested Citation

  • Monasterio, Leonardo & Lopes, Daniel, 2018. "Brasil sem imigrantes: estimativas de longo prazo baseadas em microdados [Brazil without immigrants: microdata long run estimates]," MPRA Paper 88170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:88170
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. de Carvalho Filho, Irineu & Monasterio, Leonardo, 2012. "Immigration and the origins of regional inequality: Government-sponsored European migration to southern Brazil before World War I," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 794-807.
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    4. Leonardo Monasterio, 2017. "Surnames and ancestry in Brazil," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(5), pages 1-15, May.
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    7. de Carvalho Filho, Irineu & Colistete, Renato P., 2010. "Education Performance: Was It All Determined 100 Years Ago? Evidence From São Paulo, Brazil," MPRA Paper 24494, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Emerson Erik Schmitz & Thiago Christiano Silva, 2020. "Financial Intermediation, Human Capital Development and Economic Growth," Working Papers Series 533, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    IMMIGRATION; HUMAN CAPITAL; NUMERACY;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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