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การทดสอบข้อสมมติของทฤษฎีเศรษฐศาสตร์เกี่ยวกับความมีเหตุผลของมนุษย์: หลักฐานเชิงประจักษ์จากการทดลองในระบบปิด
[Testing Rationality Assumptions in Economic Theory: Evidence from Closed Experiment]

Author

Listed:
  • สิทธิยศ, ฐิติเทพ
  • ธัญลักษณ์ภาคย์, เกษรา

Abstract

This study tests assumptions regarding human rationality, consistency, and decision-making process based on expected value as assumed in expected utility theory. The results from closed experiment using 24 graduate students from faculty of economics as a sample indicate that the majority of samples do not behave as the expected utility theory assumes. Rather, they show preference reversal and do not think in terms of expected value but use intuition. This study suggests that these unrealistic assumptions have to be abandoned and replaced with more realistic ones. Assuming rationality, consistency, and thinking process based on expected value for every decision-making has been proven by other fields of sciences as well as unorthodox economics that these behaviors are not consistent with actual human behaviors.

Suggested Citation

  • สิทธิยศ, ฐิติเทพ & ธัญลักษณ์ภาคย์, เกษรา, 2014. "การทดสอบข้อสมมติของทฤษฎีเศรษฐศาสตร์เกี่ยวกับความมีเหตุผลของมนุษย์: หลักฐานเชิงประจักษ์จากการทดลองในระบบปิด [Testing Rationality Assumptions in Economic Theory: Evidence from Closed Experiment]," MPRA Paper 74878, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:74878
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Slovic, Paul & Lichtenstein, Sarah, 1983. "Preference Reversals: A Broader Perspective," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(4), pages 596-605, September.
    5. Herbert A. Simon, 1955. "A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 69(1), pages 99-118.
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    7. Grether, David M & Plott, Charles R, 1979. "Economic Theory of Choice and the Preference Reversal Phenomenon," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 623-638, September.
    8. Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, July.
    9. Surach Tanboon, 2008. "The Bank of Thailand Structural Model for Policy Analysis," Working Papers 2008-06, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economics; Psychology; Expected Utility and Choice;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles

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