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Empirical Approaches to the Post-Keynesian Theory of Demand for Money: An Error Correction Model of Bangladesh

Author

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  • Kundu, Nobinkhor
  • Mollah, Muhammad Musharuf Hossain

Abstract

The demand for money is crucial important tool of monetary policy to deal with the macroeconomic problems and to prescribe appropriate policy of the economy. This paper investigates to empirically explore the long-run equilibrium for demand for real money balance as well as short-run dynamics in the context of monetary policy in Bangladesh. Using time-series annual data for the period 1981 to 2012 and applying the methods of cointegration and error-correction, the study find a single cointegrating equation showing long-run stable relationship between demand for money and explanatory variables in the model. The study also finds convergence of short-run dynamics towards statistically significant long-run equilibrium and concludes that the results have important implications for the conduct of monetary policy in Bangladesh.

Suggested Citation

  • Kundu, Nobinkhor & Mollah, Muhammad Musharuf Hossain, 2014. "Empirical Approaches to the Post-Keynesian Theory of Demand for Money: An Error Correction Model of Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 65727, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Oct 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65727
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Miller, Stephen M, 1991. "Monetary Dynamics: An Application of Cointegration and Error-Correction Modeling," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 139-154, May.
    2. William J. Baumol, 1952. "The Transactions Demand for Cash: An Inventory Theoretic Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 66(4), pages 545-556.
    3. World Bank, 2012. "World Development Indicators 2012," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6014.
    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. Akhtar Hossain, 1993. "Financial Reforms, Stability of the Money Demand Function and Monetary Policy in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 28(1), pages 85-100, January.
    6. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    7. A. C. Pigou, 1917. "The Value of Money," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 32(1), pages 38-65.
    8. Gregory C. Chow, 1966. "On the Long-Run and Short-Run Demand for Money," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74(2), pages 111-111.
    9. Syed Ahmad, 1977. "Transactions Demand for Money and the Quantity Theory," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 91(2), pages 327-335.
    10. Stephen M. Goldfeld, 1973. "The Demand for Money Revisited," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(3), pages 577-646.
    11. Akhtar Hossain, 2006. "The Money Demand Behaviour in Bangladesh, 1973-2003: An Application of the Cointegration and Error-Correction Methods," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 41(1), pages 55-80, July.
    12. World Bank, 2013. "World Development Indicators 2013," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13191.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand for Money; Cointegration; Bangladesh;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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