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Testing the foreign aid-led growth hypothesis in West Africa

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  • Jones, Yakama Manty

Abstract

This paper assesses the foreign aid-led growth hypothesis in a panel of West African countries using panel cointegration techniques ( Pendroni Residual Cointegration Test, Error Correction Model, Johansen Fisher Panel Cointegration Test) and then on a country-by-country basis using time series cointegration techniques (Engle-Granger test, Error Correction Model , Johansen system cointegration test). The panel cointegration results indicate a long run relationship between aid and growth in the whole panel. For the individual countries, at least one test showed evidence of this long run relationship. Granger causality tests were done for the whole panel and then for each country individually to establish direction of causality between foreign aid and economic growth. There is evidence of unidirectional causality from foreign aid to economic growth, from economic growth to foreign aid and there are cases where both variables are independent. A simplified variation of the Chenery and Strout Two-Gap Model was estimated to test the impact of foreign aid and selected explanatory variables on economic growth in countries where aid was found to granger cause growth and this impact varied from country to country.

Suggested Citation

  • Jones, Yakama Manty, 2013. "Testing the foreign aid-led growth hypothesis in West Africa," MPRA Paper 50361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50361
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    Cited by:

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    2. R. Santos Alimi, 2015. "Estimating Consumption Function under Permanent Income Hypothesis: A Comparison between Nigeria and South Africa," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 5(11), pages 285-298, November.
    3. Workneh, Migbaru Alamirew, 2018. "Poverty and unemployment in Spain during the 2008's financial crises," MPRA Paper 92145, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Muhammad Azam & Yi Feng, 2022. "Does foreign aid stimulate economic growth in developing countries? Further evidence in both aggregate and disaggregated samples," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 533-556, April.
    5. Tefera, Mamo G & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2022. "The impact of foreign aid on economic growth in Africa: Empirical evidence from low-income countries," Working Papers 29830, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    6. Hervé Nenghem Takam & Roger Tsafack Nanfosso, 2024. "Importance of official development assistance in improving the economic cycles of Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(7), pages 1-22, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Aid; Growth; Error Correction Model; Johansen Panel Cointegration Test; Engle-Granger test; Granger causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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