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Co-mouvement d'activité dans l'UEMOA: une approche par les corrélations dynamiques
[Activity co-mouvement in WAEMU countries: an approach based on dynamic correlation]

Author

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  • Gammadigbé, Vigninou

Abstract

This paper brings a new lighting on the synchronization of the business cycles in the WAEMU countries. The study applies the concept of dynamic correlation to the analysis of the activity co-movement of the union. The results show the low level of synchronization of the business cycles, which makes difficult the implementation of a common monetary policy that will be advantageous to all the countries. These results lead to policy recommendations.

Suggested Citation

  • Gammadigbé, Vigninou, 2012. "Co-mouvement d'activité dans l'UEMOA: une approche par les corrélations dynamiques [Activity co-mouvement in WAEMU countries: an approach based on dynamic correlation]," MPRA Paper 42561, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:42561
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/42690/1/MPRA_paper_42690.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frankel, Jeffrey A & Rose, Andrew K, 1998. "The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(449), pages 1009-1025, July.
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    3. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2002. "Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 365-381, March.
    4. Christophe Croux & Mario Forni & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2001. "A Measure Of Comovement For Economic Variables: Theory And Empirics," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(2), pages 232-241, May.
    5. Céline Carrère, 2004. "African Regional Agreements: Impact on Trade with or without Currency Unions," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 13(2), pages 199-239, June.
    6. DIAGNE, Abdoulaye & NIANG, Abdou-Aziz, 2008. "Comouvements économiques dans les pays de la Zone CFA : Une analyse par le modèle factoriel dynamique généralisé," LEG - Document de travail - Economie 2008-08, LEG, Laboratoire d'Economie et de Gestion, CNRS, Université de Bourgogne.
    7. Andrew K. Rose, 2000. "One money, one market: the effect of common currencies on trade," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 08-45.
    8. Houssa, Romain, 2008. "Monetary union in West Africa and asymmetric shocks: A dynamic structural factor model approach," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1-2), pages 319-347, February.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-mouvement d'activité; Cycle économique; Analyse spectrale; Corrélation dynamique; UEMOA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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