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Government expenditure and economic development: empirical evidence from Nigeria

Author

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  • Muritala, Taiwo
  • Taiwo, Abayomi

Abstract

This study attempts to empirically examine the trends as well as effects of government spending on the growth rates of real GDP in Nigeria over the last decades (1970-2008) using econometrics model with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique. The paper test for presence of stationary between the variables using Durbin Watson unit root test. The result reveals absence of serial correlation and that all variables incorporated in the model were non-stationary at their levels. In an attempt to establish long-run relationship between public expenditure and economic growth, the result reveals that the variables are co integrated at 5% and 10% critical level. The findings show that there that there is a positive relationship between real GDP as against the recurrent and capital expenditure. It could therefore be recommended that government should promote efficiency in the allocation of development resources through emphasis on private sector participation and privatization\commercialization.

Suggested Citation

  • Muritala, Taiwo & Taiwo, Abayomi, 2011. "Government expenditure and economic development: empirical evidence from Nigeria," MPRA Paper 37293, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37293
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Ram, Rati, 1986. "Government Size and Economic Growth: A New Framework and Some Evidencefrom Cross-Section and Time-Series Data," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 191-203, March.
    3. Harvey, Charles & Jenkins, Carolyn, 1994. "Interest rate policy, taxation and risk," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 22(12), pages 1869-1879, December.
    4. Landau, Daniel, 1986. "Government and Economic Growth in the Less Developed Countries: An Empirical Study for 1960-1980," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 35(1), pages 35-75, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. ZAREEN, SHUMAILA & Qayyum, Abdul, 2014. "An Analysis of the Impact of Government Size on Economic Growth of Pakistan: An Endogenous Growth," MPRA Paper 85426, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    2. Nnamocha, P.N. (PhD) & Anyanwu, Austin Chinenye (PhD), 2022. "Government Expenditure and Performance of Selected Macroeconomic Variables in Nigeria (1981 – 2018)," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 9(1), pages 138-150, January.
    3. Ayoka Cynthia Odinakachi & Nzotta Samuel Mbadike & Kanu Success Ikechi, 2021. "The Effect of Federal Government Revenue and Expenditure On Economic Growth in Nigeria – An Empirical Review," International Journal of Innovation and Economic Development, Inovatus Services Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 34-52, August.
    4. Ekor, Maxwell & Adeniyi, Oluwatosin, 2014. "Government Spending and Economic Growth: A Revisit of the Nigerian Experience," MPRA Paper 107840, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. OJO, Oladele Oladipo, PhD & CHUKWUMA, Obumneme Eugene & Prof. Suleiman. A. S Aruwa, 2024. "Moderating Effect of Public Debt on Protective Expenditure and Economic Growth of Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 11(15), pages 372-385, October.
    6. Gitana Dudzevičiūtė & Agnė Šimelytė & Aušra Liučvaitienė, 2018. "Government expenditure and economic growth in the European Union countries," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(2), pages 372-386, February.
    7. Uchechi Shirley Anaduaka & Vivian Ikwuoma Nnetu & Stephen Ekene Aguegboh & David Iheke Okorie, 2016. "Relative Maxima of the Public Sector: A Comparative Study of Nigeria and Ghana," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 6(11), pages 575-589, November.
    8. Iyabo A. Olanrele, 2020. "Dynamic Effect of Public Expenditure on Oil Producing Economy: An Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 7(1), pages 64-73.
    9. Sadia Shabbir & Hafiz M. Yasin, 2015. "Implications of Public External Debt for Social Spending: A Case Study of Selected Asian Developing Countries," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 20(1), pages 71-103, Jan-June.
    10. Prof. Nnamocha, P. N. & Anyanwu, Austin C. (PhD), 2022. "Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria, 1980-2020," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 9(8), pages 122-131, August.
    11. Falade Olanipekun Emmanuel & Olagbaju Ifeolu Oladiran, 2015. "Effect of Government Capital Expenditure on Manufacturing Sector Output in Nigeria," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 136-152, December.
    12. Awode Segun Subair & Akpa Emeka Okoro, 2018. "Testing Wagner’s Law in Nigeria in the Short and Long-run," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 14(7), pages 7-23, DECEMBER.
    13. Udi Joshua, 2019. "An ARDL Approach to the Government Expenditure and Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(3), pages 152-160, September.
    14. Ashima Arora & Anjala Kalsie, 2018. "Impact of US Financial Crisis on GDP of BRICS Economies: An Analysis Using Panel Data Approach," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(2), pages 439-454, April.
    15. Oleka Chioma & Agwa Ginika Angela & Okoh Onyinyechi & Kalu Ebere Ume*, 2018. "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Historical, Theoretical and Empirical Perspectives," Sumerianz Journal of Economics and Finance, Sumerianz Publication, vol. 1(3), pages 74-81, 09-2018.
    16. repec:lje:journl:v:20:y:2015:i:1:p:71-103 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Current expenditure; capital expenditure; macroeconomics; economic development;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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