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Measuring Standard Error of Inflation in Pakistan: A Stochastic Approach

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  • Iqbal, Javed
  • Hanif, Muhammad Nadim

Abstract

Stochastic approach to index number (and its change) has recently attracted renewed attention of researchers as it provides the standard error of index number (and its change). One of the most important uses of index number is in the case of measurement of the general price level in an economy (and then inflation of course). In this study we estimate standard errors of month on month and year on year inflation in Pakistan under stochastic approach, following Clement and Izan (1987). We contribute in this study by providing mechanism and estimating the standard error of period average of YoY inflation and apply this to Pakistan data.

Suggested Citation

  • Iqbal, Javed & Hanif, Muhammad Nadim, 2010. "Measuring Standard Error of Inflation in Pakistan: A Stochastic Approach," MPRA Paper 35422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:35422
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Selvanathan, E A, 1989. "A Note on the Stochastic Approach to Index Numbers," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(4), pages 471-474, October.
    2. Michael F. Bryan & Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1993. "The consumer price index as a measure of inflation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 29(Q IV), pages 15-24.
    3. Clements, Kenneth W & Izan, H Y, 1987. "The Measurement of Inflation: A Stochastic Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(3), pages 339-350, July.
    4. Selvanathan, E. A. & Selvanathan, S., 2004. "Modelling the commodity prices in the OECD countries: a stochastic approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 233-247, March.
    5. Eliyathamby A. Selvanathan & Saroja Selvanathan, 2006. "Measurement of Inflation: An Alternative Approach," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 403-418, November.
    6. E. A. Selvanathan, 2003. "Extending the stochastic approach to index numbers: a comment on Crompton," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 213-215.
    7. Paul Crompton, 2000. "Extending the stochastic approach to index numbers," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(6), pages 367-371.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Pakistan;

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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