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Impact of Futures Trading on Indian Agricultural Commodity Market

Author

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  • Mukherjee, Dr. Kedar nath

Abstract

Besides the well-established fact towards the requirement of market based instrument, there is always been a doubt, as expressed by different bodies, on the usefulness and suitability of futures contract in developing the underlying agricultural commodity market, especially in agricultural based economy like India. Therefore, an attempt has been made to re-validate the impact of futures trading on agricultural commodity market in India. The daily price information in spot and futures markets, for a period of 7 years (2004 – 2010), for 9 major agricultural commodities, taken from different categories of Agri-products, are incorporated into various econometric models to test the concerned objective. Like most of the other studies undertaken on world and Indian commodity market, the present study have also exhibited that even though the inflationary pressure on commodity, especially agricultural commodity, prices have gone up sharply after the introduction of commodity futures contracts, the destabilizing effect of the futures contract is casual in nature and tends to vary over a long period of time. The empirical findings significantly shows that comparative advantage of futures market in disseminating information, leading to a significant price discovery and risk management, that can again help to successfully develop the underlying commodity market in India. Therefore instead of curbing the commodity futures market, it can always be suggested to strengthen the market structure to achieve the broader target.

Suggested Citation

  • Mukherjee, Dr. Kedar nath, 2011. "Impact of Futures Trading on Indian Agricultural Commodity Market," MPRA Paper 29290, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Mar 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:29290
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/29290/1/MPRA_paper_29290.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pandey, Ajay, 2008. "Hedging Effectiveness of Constant and Time Varying Hedge Ratio in Indian Stock and Commodity Futures Markets," IIMA Working Papers WP2008-06-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    2. Kawaller, Ira G & Koch, Paul D & Koch, Timothy W, 1987. "The Temporal Price Relationship between S&P 500 Futures and the S and P 500 Index," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(5), pages 1309-1329, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Muneer Shaik & Abhiram Kartik Lanka & Gurmeet Singh, 2021. "Analysis of lead-lag relationship and volatility spillover: evidence from Indian agriculture commodity markets," International Journal of Bonds and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(3), pages 258-279.
    2. Suranjana Joarder & Diganta Mukherjee, 2021. "The Lead–Lag Relationship Between Futures and Spot Price—A Case of the Oil and Oilseed Contracts Traded on Indian Exchange," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 20(1), pages 7-33, June.
    3. Mohanty, Sunil K. & Mishra, Sibanjan, 2020. "Regulatory reform and market efficiency: The case of Indian agricultural commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity Futures; Lead-Lag Relation; Efficiency; Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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