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Electoral Budget Cycles: The case of the Argentine Provinces

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  • Medina, Leandro
  • Lema, Daniel

Abstract

This paper presents subnational evidence of electoraly-motivated changes in the level of public expenditures, budgetary deficits and composition of public expenditures in Argentina. The empirical study is made using a dynamic panel data analysis (GMM) for 22 provinces during period 1985-2001. We find evidence of political cycles in policies around the election date. Results shows that deficits and public expenditures increase in election years. Evidence also suggest that expenditures shift toward more visible public investment and away from current consumption goods.

Suggested Citation

  • Medina, Leandro & Lema, Daniel, 2004. "Electoral Budget Cycles: The case of the Argentine Provinces," MPRA Paper 21504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:21504
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21504/1/MPRA_paper_21504.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hibbs, Douglas A., 1977. "Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 71(4), pages 1467-1487, December.
    2. William D. Nordhaus, 1975. "The Political Business Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 42(2), pages 169-190.
    3. Lindbeck, Assar, 1976. "Stabilization Policy in Open Economies with Endogenous Politicians," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 66(2), pages 1-19, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hoda Youssef, 2012. "Fiscal Manipulation in Non-democratic Regimes: The Case of Egypt," Working Papers 703, Economic Research Forum, revised 2012.
    2. Daniel Lema & Jorge M. Streb, 2013. "Party alignment and political budget cycles: the Argentine provinces," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 520, Universidad del CEMA.
    3. Vicente, Cristina & Ríos, Ana-María & Guillamón, María-Dolores, 2013. "Voting behavior and budget stability," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 46-52.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electoral Budget Cycles; Argentina; Political Economy; Fiscal Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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