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Disaggregated Credit Flows and Growth in Central Europe

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  • Bezemer, Dirk J
  • Werner, Richard A

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to explore the link between credit and output in the context of a developed transition economy. Salient credit market features of these economies are (i) credit market imperfections leading to constraints on growth and (ii) the rapidly growing importance during transition of their financial sectors (the insurance, pension funds and real estate sectors). We develop a framework of credit and output including separate measures for credit to the real sector and financial sectors and for credit constraints, taking account of the role of trade credit. In our empirical work we focus on the Czech Republic because of the level of its financial development and data quality. In VAR and ARIMA analyses we find that our disaggregated measures for credit flows are better predictors of nominal growth than traditional, aggregate measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Bezemer, Dirk J & Werner, Richard A, 2009. "Disaggregated Credit Flows and Growth in Central Europe," MPRA Paper 17456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:17456
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Philipp Roderweis & Jamel Saadaoui & Francisco Serranito, 2023. "Is Quantitative Easing Productive? The Role of Bank Lending in the Monetary Transmission Process," Working Papers hal-04159825, HAL.
    2. Kadish, Peter, 2010. "Credit Monitoring in the USA and EU Countries," MPRA Paper 24360, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit; growth; transition; central Europe; Czech Republic;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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