IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/16581.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Assessing Romanian financial sector stability: the importance of the international economic climate

Author

Listed:
  • Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to develop an aggregate stability index for the Romanian financial system. The index which is meant to enhance the set of analysis used by the central bank to assess the financial stability accurately reflects the financial stability dynamics and the periods with financial turbulences during 1997-2007 in Romania. By the application of a technique which enables the measurement of the components’ contribution to the aggregate index volatility, we show that some individual stability indicators require a close monitoring by the authorities in order to detect the instability periods. Several attempts to set up a financial stability aggregate index can be found in the literature, but none of these studies took into consideration the spillover effect between different financial markets. One of the contributions of our paper is the introduction within the aggregate index of an indicator capable of highlighting the international economic climate. The deterioration of the world economic climate can represent the background for the contagion phenomenon. The outcome of the study shows an improvement of the Romanian financial stability during the analysed period. The aggregate index volatility also decreased starting with 1999. The financial vulnerability and financial soundness indicators have a significant contribution to the volatility of the aggregate index in the periods foregoing the crisis appearance. On the contrary, the volatility of the world economic climate indicators is reduced before the crisis, rising immediately after its burst out.

Suggested Citation

  • Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2008. "Assessing Romanian financial sector stability: the importance of the international economic climate," MPRA Paper 16581, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Feb 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16581
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/16581/1/MPRA_paper_16581.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jan Willem van den End & Mostafa Tabbae, 2005. "Measuring Financial Stability: Applying the MfRisk Model to the Netherlands," DNB Working Papers 030, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    2. repec:cnb:ocpubc:fsr06/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Mark Illing & Ying Liu, 2003. "An Index of Financial Stress for Canada," Staff Working Papers 03-14, Bank of Canada.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maciej Krzak & Grzegorz Poniatowski & Katarzyna Wasik, 2014. "Measuring financial stress and economic sensitivity in CEE countries," CASE Network Reports 0117, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    2. Deimantė Teresienė & Greta Keliuotytė-Staniulėnienė & Rasa Kanapickienė, 2021. "Sustainable Economic Growth Support through Credit Transmission Channel and Financial Stability: In the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-34, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2010. "Forecasting The Romanian Financial System Stability Using A Stochastic Simulation Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 81-98, March.
    2. Claudiu T. Albulescu, 2011. "Economic and Financial Integration of CEECs: The Impact of Financial Instability," Czech Economic Review, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 027-045, March.
    3. Jan Willem van den End, 2006. "Indicator and boundaries of financial stability," DNB Working Papers 097, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    4. Ameni GHENIMI & khaled OWEIS & Mohamed Ali OMRI, 2016. "Financial stability of islamic banks in the MENA countries during financial crisis and political uncertainty: an empirical investigation," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 7(1), June.
    5. Ameni GHENIMI & khaled OWEIS & Mohamed Ali OMRI, 2016. "Financial stability of islamic banks in the MENA countries during financial crisis and political uncertainty: an empirical investigation," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 7(1), June.
    6. Apriliani Gustiana & Nasrudin, 2021. "Evaluating Financial System Stability Using Heatmap from Aggregate Financial Stability Index with Change Point Analysis Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 367-396, September.
    7. Nasreen, Samia & Anwar, Sofia & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1105-1122.
    8. Daniel Oda, 2013. "Introducing Liquidity Risk in the Contingent-Claim Analysis for the Banks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 681, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. Amira Dridi & Mohamed El Ghourabi & Mohamed Limam, 2012. "On monitoring financial stress index with extreme value theory," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 329-339, March.
    10. Oet, Mikhail V. & Bianco, Timothy & Gramlich, Dieter & Ong, Stephen J., 2013. "SAFE: An early warning system for systemic banking risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4510-4533.
    11. Judith Eidenberger & Benjamin Neudorfer & Michael Sigmund & Ingrid Stein, 2013. "Quantifying Financial Stability in Austria, New Tools for Macroprudential Supervision," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 26, pages 62-81.
    12. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    13. Dairo Estrada & Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera, 2009. "Indice de Estabilidad Financiera para Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 038, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    14. Sha Zhu, 2018. "China¡¯s Financial Market Risk: Macroeconomic Response and Crisis Warning," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(6), pages 12-19, June.
    15. Tang, Pan & Tang, Tiantian & Lu, Chennuo, 2024. "Predicting systemic financial risk with interpretable machine learning," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    16. Mamatzakis, Emmanuel C. & Ongena, Steven & Tsionas, Mike G., 2021. "Does alternative finance moderate bank fragility? Evidence from the euro area," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2020. "Not the usual suspects: Critical indicators in a dollarized country's Financial Stress Index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    18. Huang, Wenli & Lan, Cheng & Xu, Yueling & Zhang, Zhaonan & Zeng, Haijian, 2022. "Does COVID-19 matter for systemic financial risks? Evidence from China's financial and real estate sectors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Rosaria Rita Canale & Paul Grauwe & Pasquale Foresti & Oreste Napolitano, 2018. "Is there a trade-off between free capital mobility, financial stability and fiscal policy flexibility in the EMU?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 154(1), pages 177-201, February.
    20. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Naifar, Nader & Nasreen, Samia, 2023. "Financial stability and monetary policy reaction: Evidence from the GCC countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 396-405.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial stability; quantitative methods for assessing systemic stability; aggregate financial stability index; world economic climate index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16581. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.